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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 5K | $0.905 | $4.75K | +$224.31 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 254.28 | $0.240 | $60.97 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 3.11K |
| $0.852 |
| $2.97K |
| +$319.64 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 3.25K | $0.637 | $2.77K | +$699.08 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 2.99K | $0.771 | $2.53K | +$222.01 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 1.5K | $0.670 | $1.28K | +$277.51 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 999.99 | $0.810 | $834.99 | +$25 |
| buy |
| 1K |
| $0.710 |
| $710 |
| Jul 18, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 363.12 | $0.991 | $359.85 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 499.53 | $0.040 | $19.98 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 20K | $0.005 | $100 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 750 | $0.890 | $667.5 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No | buy | 1.25K | $0.887 | $1.11K | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 51.4 | $0.810 | $41.63 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 34.98 | $0.755 | $26.42 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 219.6 | $0.957 | $210.24 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 750 | $0.630 | $472.5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1K | $0.890 | $890 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.66K | $0.830 | $3.04K | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.11K | $0.950 | $2K | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.66K | $0.819 | $3K | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No | sell | 4.36K | $0.985 | $4.29K | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No | sell | 2.91K | $0.985 | $2.86K | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 4.93K | $0.774 | $3.82K | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No | sell | 3.87K | $0.985 | $3.82K | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 748.05 | $0.770 | $576 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 23.75 | $0.880 | $20.9 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.1K | $0.870 | $960.98 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 1.01K | $0.605 | $611.16 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 3K | $0.971 | $2.91K | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 400 | $0.790 | $316 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 750 | $0.790 | $592.5 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No | buy | 2.47K | $0.971 | $2.4K | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No | buy | 3K | $0.970 | $2.91K | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No | buy | 2K | $0.970 | $1.94K | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No | buy | 2.11K | $0.975 | $2.06K | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No | buy | 5.86K | $0.974 | $5.7K | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 1.25K | $0.945 | $1.18K | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.790 | $23.7 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 131.45 | $0.986 | $129.6 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.982 | $9.82 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?No | buy | 1.81K | $0.904 | $1.64K | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.840 | $840 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 5K | $0.970 | $4.85K | Jun 10, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 10K | $0.991 | $9.91K | Jun 2, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 25K | $0.995 | $24.88K | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump Insult Xi this week?Yes | buy | 2.8K | $0.021 | $59.42 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 2K | $0.980 | $1.96K | May 7, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 6.92K | $0.979 | $6.78K | May 7, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?No | buy | 750 | $0.840 | $630 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No | buy | 117.62 | $0.971 | $114.21 | May 6, 2026 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?No | buy | 60 | $0.961 | $57.66 | May 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 10K | $0.996 | $9.96K | Apr 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 10K | $0.996 | $9.96K | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | buy | 2K | $0.900 | $1.8K | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | buy | 1K | $0.975 | $975 | Apr 28, 2026 |