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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 192.68 | $0.908 | $185.84 | +$10.85 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.902 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 63.7 |
| $0.879 |
| $62.62 |
| +$6.62 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 30.98 | $0.968 | $30.53 | +$0.53 |
 New pandemic in 2026? | No | 28.37 | $0.881 | $26.95 | +$1.95 |
 Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? | No | 5.37 | $0.932 | $5.25 | +$0.24 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 2.2 | $0.910 | $2.1 | +$0.1 |
 Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? | No | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2.07 | +$0.07 |
 US defaults on debt by 2027? | No | 2.08 | $0.960 | $2.02 | +$0.02 |
 Human moon landing in 2026? | No | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
 New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? | No | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| buy |
| 12.05 |
| $0.830 |
| $10 |
| May 1, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will HSBC fail by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.29 | $0.980 | $5.18 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?No | buy | 11.2 | $0.982 | $11 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 10.5 | $0.983 | $10.32 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.918 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 7.28 | $0.962 | $7 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 5.36 | $0.932 | $5 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?No | buy | 15.66 | $0.990 | $15.5 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?No | sell | 6.57 | $0.820 | $5.39 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 10.49 | $0.978 | $10.26 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 12.2 | $0.820 | $10 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | sell | 2.21 | $0.912 | $2.02 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No | sell | 2.16 | $0.977 | $2.11 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.17 | $0.962 | $4.97 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 5.2 | $0.961 | $5 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | sell | 5.26 | $0.974 | $5.12 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.959 | $3 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.885 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.3 | $0.944 | $5 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will HSBC fail by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.29 | $0.945 | $5 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.923 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.993 | $5 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.961 | $1 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10.37 | $0.964 | $10 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10.49 | $0.953 | $10 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Human moon landing in 2026?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.912 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| New pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.880 | $20 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.937 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| New pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.900 | $30 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Bill Clinton in jail by January 31?No | buy | 9.1 | $0.989 | $9 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 56.82 | $0.880 | $50 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-01-13?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 21.51 | $0.930 | $20 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Clavicular in jail by January 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 31.91 | $0.940 | $30 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| US defaults on debt by 2027?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.960 | $2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 US bank failure by January 31?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft reach $608 in January?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 5.27 | $0.949 | $5 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Jimmy Lai released by January 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |