Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 1.43 | $0.700 | $0.19 | -$0.81 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Final Stage: USA vs. VenezuelaUSA | buy | 8.1 | $0.690 | $5.59 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 4.3 |
| $0.830 |
| $3.57 |
| Mar 16, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "President Xi" this week? (March 22)Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.528 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will "Holy Shit" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 15)Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.010 | $0.14 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will "Holy Shit" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 15)Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Leavitt say "America First" during the next White House Press Briefing?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 1.61 | $0.190 | $0.31 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | sell | 1.19 | $0.940 | $1.12 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 2.7 | $0.321 | $0.87 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during Monday press conference?Yes | sell | 1.29 | $0.996 | $1.28 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during Monday press conference?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | sell | 2.05 | $0.997 | $2.04 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 2.05 | $0.487 | $1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes | sell | 1.4 | $0.990 | $1.39 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?No | sell | 3.75 | $0.262 | $0.98 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?No | buy | 3.76 | $0.266 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.46 | $0.289 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will "State of the Union" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 8)Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Women's Final - USA vs. CanadaCanada | sell | 5 | $0.700 | $3.5 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 17.24 | $0.058 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Women's Final - USA vs. CanadaCanada | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump say "China" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes | sell | 1.56 | $0.999 | $1.56 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Cilia" or "Flores" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump say "China" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 49ers vs. Colts49ers | sell | 1.51 | $0.760 | $1.15 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Canucks vs. FlyersFlyers | sell | 1.72 | $0.780 | $1.34 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| 49ers vs. Colts49ers | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Canucks vs. FlyersFlyers | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 US strike on Syria by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?Yes | sell | 3.12 | $0.800 | $2.5 | Dec 8, 2025 |