Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the CDU/CSU win by 10-12%?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.025 | $0.63 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 33.54 |
| $0.690 |
| $23.14 |
| Feb 23, 2025 |
 Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.450 | $45 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?No | buy | 50 | $0.670 | $33.5 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.950 | $12.35 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.680 | $10.2 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?No | sell | 99.99 | $0.922 | $92.19 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Will the CDU/CSU win by 2-4%?Yes | buy | 82 | $0.027 | $2.21 | Feb 21, 2025 |
 Will the CDU/CSU win between 26% and 28% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 68.93 | $0.062 | $4.27 | Feb 21, 2025 |
 Will the CDU/CSU win between 28% and 30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 13.57 | $0.350 | $4.75 | Feb 21, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.230 | $2.3 | Feb 21, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.650 | $9.75 | Feb 21, 2025 |
| FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?No | sell | 23 | $0.610 | $14.03 | Feb 21, 2025 |
 Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.189 | $3.78 | Feb 21, 2025 |
| Will FDP be part of the next German government?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.210 | $4.41 | Feb 21, 2025 |
| Will the CDU/CSU win between 28% and 30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.260 | $5.2 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Will the CDU/CSU win by 4-6%?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.047 | $1 | Feb 20, 2025 |
| BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.270 | $2.16 | Feb 20, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win less than 20% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | Feb 20, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 52 | $0.150 | $7.8 | Feb 20, 2025 |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.950 | $12.35 | Feb 20, 2025 |
| FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?No | buy | 23 | $0.620 | $14.26 | Feb 20, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?No | buy | 100 | $0.878 | $87.8 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Will the CDU/CSU win between 32% and 34% of the vote in the German election?No | sell | 38 | $0.790 | $30.02 | Feb 20, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win between 22% and 24% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.170 | $1.19 | Feb 19, 2025 |
| Will the CDU/CSU win between 28% and 30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 4.38 | $0.240 | $1.05 | Feb 19, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government?Yes | sell | 136 | $0.182 | $24.71 | Feb 19, 2025 |
| Will the CDU/CSU win between 28% and 30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 4.38 | $0.260 | $1.14 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win between 22% and 24% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.230 | $1.61 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Will the CDU/CSU win by 10-12%?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.300 | $5.7 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?No | buy | 14 | $0.670 | $9.38 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.125 | $1.25 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Will the CDU/CSU win between 32% and 34% of the vote in the German election?No | buy | 38 | $0.780 | $29.64 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.132 | $2.38 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?Yes | buy | 47 | $0.380 | $17.86 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?No | buy | 27 | $0.670 | $18.09 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.370 | $6.29 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.370 | $12.95 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.128 | $1.28 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Will the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 9.53 | $0.300 | $2.86 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 Will the CDU/CSU win by more than 12%?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | Feb 17, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?No | buy | 86 | $0.880 | $75.68 | Feb 17, 2025 |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | sell | 106 | $0.940 | $99.64 | Feb 17, 2025 |
| Will the CDU/CSU win by more than 12%?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.130 | $3.9 | Feb 17, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.128 | $1.66 | Feb 17, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win between 22% and 24% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.230 | $1.84 | Feb 17, 2025 |
| Will the CDU/CSU win between 26% and 28% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.034 | $0.68 | Feb 16, 2025 |
| FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?No | buy | 81 | $0.730 | $59.13 | Feb 16, 2025 |
| Will the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | Feb 16, 2025 |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 106 | $0.940 | $99.64 | Feb 16, 2025 |