Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? | No | 31.02 | $0.967 | $29.69 | -$0.31 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 21.32 | $0.938 | $20 | 23d ago |
|
| No |
| 23.66 |
| $0.930 |
| $22.65 |
| +$0.65 |
 Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | 21.28 | $0.940 | $21.13 | +$1.13 |
| Will Variational launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | 21.2 | $0.942 | $21.12 | +$1.14 |
| Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 21.32 | $0.938 | $20.88 | +$0.88 |
| buy |
| 31.02 |
| $0.967 |
| $30 |
| 23d ago |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 23.66 | $0.930 | $22 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 21.28 | $0.940 | $20 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 52.17 | $0.968 | $50.5 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 21.1 | $0.948 | $20 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Phantom launch a token by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 21.88 | $0.960 | $21 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Hibachi launch a token by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.920 | $23 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Over $200M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No | buy | 23.09 | $0.977 | $22.55 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will Backpack launch a token on March 23?Yes | buy | 20.57 | $0.972 | $19.99 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 11.07 | $0.903 | $10 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Hibachi launch a token by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 59.77 | $0.989 | $59.11 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?No | buy | 1.96K | $0.989 | $1.94K | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?No | buy | 1.96K | $0.987 | $1.93K | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?No | buy | 769.36 | $0.985 | $757.82 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?No | buy | 1.97K | $0.984 | $1.94K | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 52.56 | $0.986 | $51.82 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?No | buy | 101.94 | $0.981 | $100 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?No | buy | 101.11 | $0.989 | $100 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Solana dip to $30 in February?No | buy | 101.11 | $0.989 | $100 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Zama FDV above $3B one day after launch?No | buy | 351.81 | $0.994 | $349.64 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in January?No | buy | 349.64 | $0.998 | $348.94 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Opensea launch a token by December 31?No | buy | 180.31 | $0.992 | $178.87 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?No | buy | 30.49 | $0.984 | $30 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?Yes | buy | 16.95 | $0.590 | $10 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?Yes | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?No | buy | 96.39 | $0.995 | $95.91 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?No | buy | 20.45 | $0.978 | $20 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?No | buy | 100.5 | $0.995 | $100 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 101.32 | $0.987 | $100 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?No | buy | 39.38 | $0.995 | $39.18 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?No | buy | 10.32 | $0.969 | $10 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 25?No | buy | 20.24 | $0.988 | $20 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Maduro out by November 30, 2025?No | buy | 20.43 | $0.979 | $20 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?No | buy | 20.06 | $0.997 | $20 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 20.26 | $0.994 | $20.14 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?No | buy | 25.59 | $0.986 | $25.23 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Solana reach $270 in November?No | buy | 20.2 | $0.990 | $20 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Solana reach $300 in November?No | buy | 30.15 | $0.995 | $30 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,600 in November?No | buy | 20.18 | $0.991 | $20 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 14?No | buy | 10.02 | $0.998 | $10 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?No | buy | 10.17 | $0.983 | $10 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?No | buy | 20.16 | $0.992 | $20 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?No | buy | 10.17 | $0.983 | $10 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?No | buy | 21.37 | $0.936 | $20 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No | buy | 39.23 | $0.999 | $39.19 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 11.53 | $0.867 | $10 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November?No | buy | 20.18 | $0.991 | $20 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.980 | $14 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?Yes | buy | 15.37 | $0.976 | $15 | Nov 5, 2025 |