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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 8.03K | $0.589 | $6.87K | +$2.14K |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 400 | $0.024 | $9.6 | Feb 28, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 3K |
| $0.829 |
| $2.88K |
| +$398.51 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 1.8K | $0.824 | $1.68K | +$200.33 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 1.4K | $0.922 | $1.34K | +$46.1 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 999.99 | $0.712 | $983.49 | +$271.5 |
 Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | No | 799.99 | $0.802 | $757.99 | +$116 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 800 | $0.695 | $724 | +$168 |
| Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? | No | 600 | $0.833 | $596.4 | +$96.4 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | No | 599.99 | $0.690 | $595.79 | +$181.8 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 2.4K | $0.182 | $577.19 | +$140.01 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 599.99 | $0.687 | $482.99 | +$71 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 400 | $0.760 | $366 | +$62 |
 Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | No | 345.71 | $0.635 | $320.13 | +$100.42 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 400 | $0.595 | $314 | +$76 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | No | 300 | $0.847 | $294.9 | +$40.9 |
| Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.680 | $198.7 | +$62.7 |
 XRP all time high by September 30, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.680 | $198.4 | +$62.4 |
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.705 | $191 | +$50 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 200 | $0.840 | $189 | +$21 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 200 | $0.880 | $187 | +$11 |
| XRP all time high by December 31, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.610 | $186.2 | +$64.2 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 400 | $0.535 | $186 | -$28 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.354 | $185.7 | +$114.9 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 400 | $0.505 | $178 | -$24 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 329.46 | $0.586 | $156.5 | -$36.59 |
| sell |
| 1.62K |
| $0.012 |
| $18.81 |
| Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | sell | 2.07K | $0.014 | $28.92 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | sell | 800 | $0.998 | $798.4 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes | sell | 588 | $0.460 | $270.48 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?No | sell | 5.91K | $0.999 | $5.91K | Sep 28, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced by October 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.250 | $50 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?No | sell | 399.99 | $0.033 | $13.08 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.140 | $28 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?Yes | buy | 518.08 | $0.760 | $393.74 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran by Friday?No | sell | 679.11 | $0.002 | $1.36 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Israel military action against Iran by Friday?No | sell | 120.89 | $0.007 | $0.87 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Will XRP dip to $1.7 in June?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.120 | $12 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?Yes | sell | 199.98 | $0.121 | $24.28 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.390 | $39 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | sell | 111.99 | $0.186 | $20.83 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will Fartcoin reach $2.00 before June?Yes | sell | 46.82 | $0.013 | $0.61 | May 31, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 20-26?Yes | buy | 208 | $0.270 | $56.16 | May 21, 2025 |
 Will France finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No | sell | 199.99 | $0.246 | $49.22 | May 17, 2025 |
 Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?Yes | sell | 286.56 | $0.150 | $42.98 | May 12, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?No | sell | 599.99 | $0.090 | $54 | May 12, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.008 | $1.6 | May 12, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 6-12?Yes | buy | 3.91K | $0.994 | $3.89K | May 11, 2025 |
 Will the next Pope be a manlet?No | buy | 400 | $0.980 | $392 | May 8, 2025 |
| Will the next Pope be a manlet?No | buy | 160 | $0.980 | $156.8 | May 8, 2025 |
| Will the next Pope be a manlet?No | buy | 200 | $0.960 | $192 | May 8, 2025 |
 Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?No | sell | 200 | $0.670 | $134 | May 7, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.559 | $111.8 | May 6, 2025 |
 Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.965 | $96.5 | Apr 30, 2025 |
| Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?No | sell | 43.42 | $0.032 | $1.39 | Apr 30, 2025 |
| Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?No | sell | 450 | $0.026 | $11.7 | Apr 30, 2025 |
| Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?No | buy | 161 | $0.920 | $148.12 | Apr 26, 2025 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.790 | $79 | Apr 23, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 8.36 | $0.879 | $7.35 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 20.64 | $0.904 | $18.66 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 8-14?Yes | buy | 79 | $0.983 | $77.66 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Trump x Xi talk by Friday?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.090 | $10.8 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump lower tariffs on EU in April?No | sell | 17.34 | $0.120 | $2.08 | Apr 9, 2025 |
| Will Trump lower tariffs on EU in April?No | sell | 282.66 | $0.130 | $36.75 | Apr 9, 2025 |
 Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May?No | sell | 203.91 | $0.037 | $7.45 | Mar 25, 2025 |
 Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.956 | $95.6 | Mar 17, 2025 |
 Will Călin Georgescu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.021 | $5.25 | Mar 13, 2025 |
| Will Călin Georgescu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.021 | $4.2 | Mar 13, 2025 |
| Will Călin Georgescu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?Yes | sell | 8.05 | $0.022 | $0.18 | Mar 13, 2025 |
| Will Călin Georgescu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?Yes | sell | 650 | $0.021 | $13.65 | Mar 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump say 'Ukraine' during the 2025 State of the Union?No | buy | 45 | $0.070 | $3.15 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?No | sell | 699.99 | $0.081 | $56.66 | Feb 27, 2025 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?No | buy | 1.25K | $0.800 | $1K | Feb 26, 2025 |
 US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?No | buy | 1.57K | $0.629 | $990 | Feb 25, 2025 |
 Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.990 | $990 | Feb 25, 2025 |