Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 178.57 | $0.560 | $93.75 | -$6.25 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.560 | $100 | 10d ago |
 |
| No |
| 300 |
| $0.350 |
| $34.5 |
| -$70.5 |
| sell |
| 138.88 |
| $0.984 |
| $136.72 |
| Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?No | sell | 155.17 | $0.981 | $152.22 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?No | buy | 300 | $0.350 | $105 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina | buy | 245.4 | $0.408 | $100 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 212.77 | $0.470 | $100 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | sell | 714.28 | $0.170 | $121.43 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 217.39 | $0.751 | $163.19 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 138.89 | $0.720 | $100 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | buy | 188.68 | $0.530 | $100 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 217.39 | $0.460 | $100 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?No | sell | 143.67 | $0.880 | $126.43 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?No | buy | 143.67 | $0.696 | $100 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?No | buy | 155.17 | $0.644 | $100 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 1.07K | $0.170 | $182.4 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 1.21K | $0.165 | $200 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 181.81 | $0.684 | $124.27 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 181.82 | $0.550 | $100 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | sell | 606.06 | $0.475 | $287.58 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.250 | $100 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 172.13 | $0.581 | $100 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.140 | $100 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 110.71 | $0.349 | $38.64 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | buy | 303.03 | $0.330 | $100 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | buy | 303.03 | $0.330 | $100 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 334.69 | $0.237 | $79.25 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?Yes | sell | 2.31K | $0.011 | $24.53 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting?Yes | sell | 168.15 | $0.003 | $0.5 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting?Yes | buy | 168.15 | $0.390 | $65.58 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 334.7 | $0.299 | $100 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Government shutdown on Saturday?No | sell | 203.66 | $0.813 | $165.58 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Government shutdown on Saturday?No | buy | 203.67 | $0.309 | $62.97 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 143.93 | $0.420 | $60.45 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?Yes | buy | 2.31K | $0.040 | $93 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 128.83 | $0.740 | $95.33 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 143.94 | $0.660 | $95 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 128.84 | $0.800 | $103.07 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)Gaethje | buy | 95.19 | $0.347 | $33 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 335.45 | $0.410 | $137.53 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 335.46 | $0.298 | $100 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Citigroup launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?Yes | sell | 309.7 | $0.177 | $54.91 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Another GTA VI trailer released in 2025?Yes | sell | 52.08 | $0.450 | $23.44 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?No | buy | 161.6 | $0.250 | $40.4 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Will Hyperliquid launch stocks perps in 2025?Yes | sell | 71.2 | $0.560 | $39.87 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| Will Hyperliquid launch stocks perps in 2025?Yes | buy | 71.21 | $0.576 | $41 | Jul 20, 2025 |
| Citigroup launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?Yes | buy | 309.7 | $0.323 | $100 | Jul 19, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | sell | 109.37 | $0.969 | $105.97 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 UFC 318: Will Holloway win by decision?Yes | buy | 35.7 | $0.370 | $13.21 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Up | sell | 145.38 | $0.072 | $10.48 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Another GTA VI trailer released in 2025?Yes | buy | 52.08 | $0.480 | $25 | Jul 13, 2025 |