Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 1.85K | $0.500 | $1.41K | +$480.08 |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Andy Burnham say "Immigration" during the next PMQ?No | buy | 20 | $0.520 | $10.4 | 6h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 1.85K |
| $0.500 |
| $444.93 |
| -$480.08 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 130.99 | $0.908 | $128.24 | +$9.3 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 130 | $0.951 | $124.99 | +$1.39 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 125 | $0.876 | $118.13 | +$8.58 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 105 | $0.877 | $97.13 | +$5.08 |
 Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? | No | 97.64 | $0.838 | $92.76 | +$10.95 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 89.99 | $0.904 | $87.25 | +$5.84 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 70 | $0.947 | $67.59 | +$1.33 |
 Will Republicans win 0 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala? | No | 70 | $0.929 | $66.12 | +$1.09 |
 Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | No | 50 | $0.969 | $49.18 | +$0.71 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 50 | $0.911 | $48.43 | +$2.89 |
 Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 84.99 | $0.776 | $47.13 | -$18.85 |
 Will Colorado have the closest Senate race in 2026? | No | 46 | $0.900 | $45.84 | +$4.44 |
 Will Renan win the second-most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election? | Yes | 145 | $0.400 | $44.95 | -$13.05 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 50 | $0.880 | $44.25 | +$0.25 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | 45 | $0.781 | $43.85 | +$8.68 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 35 | $0.807 | $30.39 | +$2.13 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 35 | $0.761 | $24.85 | -$1.8 |
 Will the Republican Party hold more governorships after the 2026 midterms? | No | 29.99 | $0.613 | $20.54 | +$2.15 |
 Will Trump endorse Augusto Cury for President of Brazil? | No | 21 | $0.960 | $20.39 | +$0.23 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | No | 19.99 | $0.988 | $19.8 | +$0.05 |
 Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 20 | $0.953 | $19.79 | +$0.73 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 20 | $0.950 | $18.9 | -$0.1 |
 Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? | No | 20 | $0.887 | $17.83 | +$0.09 |
| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.560 |
| $11.2 |
| 7h ago |
| Will Andy Burnham say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 5+ times during the next PMQ?No | buy | 20 | $0.450 | $9 | 20h ago |
| Will Andy Burnham not participate in the next PMQ?Yes | buy | 61.39 | $0.022 | $1.36 | 1d ago |
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.450 | $9 | 2d ago |
| Will Andy Burnham say "Speaker" 30+ times during the next PMQ?Yes | buy | 153.1 | $0.125 | $19.18 | 3d ago |
| Will Andy Burnham say "Speaker" 15+ times during the next PMQ?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.650 | $78 | 3d ago |
| Will Andy Burnham say "Immigration" during the next PMQ?No | buy | 80.99 | $0.390 | $31.59 | 4d ago |
 Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?Yes | sell | 29.99 | $0.140 | $4.2 | 7d ago |
 Will Trump say "Far Side" during remarks at NASA?No | buy | 7.94 | $0.630 | $5 | 12d ago |
| Will Trump say "Far Side" during remarks at NASA?No | buy | 7.94 | $0.630 | $5 | 12d ago |
| Will Trump say "Century" during remarks at NASA?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | 12d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.887 | $17.74 | 12d ago |
| Will Republicans win 0 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?No | buy | 40 | $0.899 | $35.96 | 12d ago |
| Will Republicans win 2 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?Yes | buy | 42.2 | $0.210 | $8.86 | 12d ago |
| Will Republicans win 3 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?No | sell | 40 | $0.631 | $25.24 | 12d ago |
| Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | 13d ago |
 Will Russia target Kyiv on August 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 40.55 | $0.050 | $2.03 | 13d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on August 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.56 | $0.049 | $0.52 | 13d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv by August 26, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.390 | $7.8 | 14d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv by August 26, 2026?No | buy | 9 | $0.390 | $3.51 | 14d ago |
 Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?No | sell | 40 | $0.850 | $34 | 14d ago |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 24 or 25 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | sell | 109.08 | $0.339 | $37.02 | 15d ago |
| Will Renan win the second-most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.340 | $6.8 | 15d ago |
| Will Renan win the second-most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.440 | $8.8 | 16d ago |
 Will Deportes Santa Cruz win the 2026 Primera B (Chile)?No | buy | 25 | $0.990 | $24.75 | 16d ago |
| Will Rangers win the 2026 Primera B (Chile)?No | buy | 25 | $0.990 | $24.75 | 16d ago |
 Will Cobresal be runner-up in the 2026 Chile Primera?No | buy | 10.1 | $0.980 | $9.9 | 16d ago |
| Will Unión La Calera be runner-up in the 2026 Chile Primera?No | buy | 10.1 | $0.980 | $9.9 | 16d ago |
 Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?No | buy | 19.99 | $0.470 | $9.4 | 16d ago |
 Bitcoin above 77,400 on August 23, 8PM ET?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | 16d ago |
| Bitcoin above 77,800 on August 23, 7PM ET?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | 16d ago |
| Bitcoin above 77,800 on August 23, 7PM ET?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | 16d ago |
| Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?No | buy | 10 | $0.630 | $6.3 | 17d ago |
| Will Republicans win 0 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?No | buy | 30 | $0.969 | $29.07 | 19d ago |
| Will Republicans win 5 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?Yes | buy | 233.04 | $0.013 | $2.96 | 19d ago |
| Will Republicans win 3 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?No | buy | 40 | $0.650 | $26 | 19d ago |
| Will Republicans win 1 Senate and Governor election in states won by Kamala?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.093 | $9.3 | 19d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.703 | $3.51 | 19d ago |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 24 or 25 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | buy | 89.08 | $0.190 | $16.93 | 20d ago |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 24 or 25 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.180 | $3.6 | 20d ago |
| Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?No | buy | 10 | $0.760 | $7.6 | 20d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.830 | $4.15 | 21d ago |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 9.99 | $0.940 | $9.39 | 21d ago |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.950 | $19 | 25d ago |
 Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 20,000-30,000?No | sell | 75.99 | $0.948 | $72.07 | 26d ago |
 Will Amanda Janoo win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.606 | $12.12 | 29d ago |
 Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?Yes | sell | 13.44 | $0.710 | $9.54 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump endorse Augusto Cury for President of Brazil?No | buy | 21 | $0.960 | $20.16 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.720 | $10.8 | Aug 2, 2026 |