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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 96.05 | $0.414 | $39.86 | +$0.06 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 36.46 | $0.260 | $9.48 | 17h ago |
|
| No |
| 33.9 |
| $0.880 |
| $31.35 |
| +$1.53 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 40.07 | $0.497 | $23.44 | +$3.54 |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 36.46 | $0.260 | $20.97 | +$11.49 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? | Yes | 17.97 | $0.538 | $15.37 | +$5.69 |
 Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | No | 19.16 | $0.510 | $13.12 | +$3.35 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | Yes | 21.85 | $0.455 | $9.18 | -$0.77 |
| buy |
| 21.85 |
| $0.455 |
| $9.95 |
| 21h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 23.93 | $0.416 | $9.95 | 21h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 24.17 | $0.412 | $9.95 | 21h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 24.27 | $0.410 | $9.95 | 21h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 23.69 | $0.420 | $9.95 | 21h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 16.86 | $0.590 | $9.95 | 21h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 23.2 | $0.429 | $9.95 | 21h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 17.97 | $0.539 | $9.68 | 22h ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.43 | $0.870 | $9.94 | 23h ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.43 | $0.870 | $9.94 | 23h ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.04 | $0.900 | $9.94 | 23h ago |
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?No | buy | 19.16 | $0.510 | $9.77 | 11d ago |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 10 | $0.758 | $7.58 | 12d ago |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.241 | $2.41 | 12d ago |
 Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 10.25 | $0.960 | $9.84 | 12d ago |
 Will Marcelo Aro win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?No | sell | 10.68 | $0.998 | $10.66 | 12d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 24.27 | $0.860 | $20.87 | 12d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 39.8 | $0.130 | $5.17 | 12d ago |
 Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 80.09 | $0.998 | $79.93 | 12d ago |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 184.36 | $0.843 | $155.42 | 12d ago |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 10.26 | $0.969 | $9.94 | 12d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | sell | 150.71 | $0.060 | $9.04 | 21d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 150.71 | $0.066 | $9.95 | 21d ago |
| Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.993 | $9.94 | 22d ago |
| Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 9.99 | $0.995 | $9.94 | 22d ago |
| Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 10.02 | $0.992 | $9.94 | 23d ago |
| Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.993 | $9.94 | 23d ago |
| Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.993 | $9.94 | 23d ago |
| Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 10 | $0.994 | $9.94 | 23d ago |
| Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 10.02 | $0.992 | $9.94 | 23d ago |
| Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 10.03 | $0.991 | $9.94 | 23d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?Yes | buy | 27.6 | $0.350 | $9.66 | 27d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?Yes | buy | 28.38 | $0.340 | $9.65 | 27d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?Yes | buy | 28.38 | $0.340 | $9.65 | 27d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?No | buy | 22.02 | $0.440 | $9.69 | 27d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 12.13 | $0.820 | $9.95 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 12.13 | $0.820 | $9.95 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Marcelo Aro win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?No | buy | 10.69 | $0.930 | $9.94 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Yes | buy | 11.03 | $0.902 | $9.95 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?No | buy | 11.06 | $0.900 | $9.95 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Yes | buy | 11.72 | $0.849 | $9.95 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 19.9 | $0.500 | $9.95 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 18.09 | $0.550 | $9.95 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 22.11 | $0.450 | $9.95 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 22.11 | $0.450 | $9.95 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 43.55 | $0.220 | $9.58 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 30.25 | $0.319 | $9.65 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 25.97 | $0.372 | $9.65 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.24 | $0.330 | $9.64 | Aug 1, 2026 |