Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 15K | $0.994 | $14.93K | +$27.52 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 9K | $0.994 | $8.95K | Jul 29, 2026 |
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| No |
| 9.19K |
| $0.500 |
| $8.84K |
| +$4.25K |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 9.19K | $0.500 | $344.44 | -$4.25K |
| sell |
| 499.99 |
| $0.180 |
| $90 |
| Jul 2, 2026 |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.187 | $93.5 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.05K | $0.993 | $7K | Jun 13, 2026 |
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.979 | $978.7 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 155.07 | $0.983 | $152.43 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 573.87 | $0.940 | $539.44 | May 22, 2026 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 509.66 | $0.946 | $482.08 | May 22, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.818 | $81.83 | May 15, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 154 | $0.973 | $149.84 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 192.64 | $0.993 | $191.29 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 40 | $0.992 | $39.68 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 15.81 | $0.975 | $15.41 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 800 | $0.964 | $771.2 | Oct 30, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?No | buy | 4.82 | $0.999 | $4.82 | Oct 28, 2025 |
Over $4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5 | Oct 28, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Yes | buy | 5.29 | $0.945 | $5 | Oct 28, 2025 |