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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 400 | $0.530 | $246 | +$34 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.220 | $4.4 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 160.82 |
| $0.718 |
| $154.07 |
| +$38.64 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 29.41 | $0.825 | $25.44 | +$1.19 |
 Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026? | No | 20 | $0.810 | $19.67 | +$3.47 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10.86 | +$0.86 |
| buy |
| 14.29 |
| $0.490 |
| $7 |
| Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 43 | $0.790 | $33.97 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?No | sell | 1.94K | $0.950 | $1.85K | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.250 | $20 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 1.94K | $0.880 | $1.71K | Jun 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 1.8K | $0.860 | $1.55K | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 555 | $0.870 | $482.85 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.25K | $0.870 | $1.09K | May 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.6K | $0.968 | $1.55K | May 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.6K | $0.860 | $1.37K | May 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 1.47K | $0.780 | $1.15K | May 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.56K | $0.840 | $1.31K | May 27, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No | buy | 200 | $0.007 | $1.4 | May 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No | sell | 1.2K | $0.992 | $1.19K | May 27, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No | buy | 160 | $0.016 | $2.56 | May 26, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | sell | 21.27 | $0.967 | $20.57 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?Yes | buy | 8.44 | $0.189 | $1.6 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?Yes | buy | 9.77 | $0.188 | $1.84 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.180 | $2.88 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 3.79 | $0.813 | $3.08 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 3.33 | $0.902 | $3 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.180 | $2.88 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?Yes | buy | 17.77 | $0.179 | $3.18 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 6.09 | $0.840 | $5.12 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | sell | 86.9 | $0.010 | $0.87 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.189 | $1.51 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.189 | $1.51 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.189 | $1.51 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?Yes | buy | 12.56 | $0.192 | $2.41 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?Yes | buy | 20.56 | $0.179 | $3.68 | May 22, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by May 31?No | sell | 11.09 | $0.998 | $11.07 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.199 | $1.49 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?Yes | buy | 6.63 | $0.190 | $1.26 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?Yes | buy | 31.26 | $0.189 | $5.91 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.194 | $1.55 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?Yes | buy | 11.63 | $0.195 | $2.27 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.190 | $18.99 | May 22, 2026 |
 Trump kiss by May 31?Yes | sell | 23 | $0.999 | $22.98 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.714 | $14.28 | May 20, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.02K | $0.710 | $724.2 | May 20, 2026 |
| Trump kiss by May 31?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.573 | $13.18 | May 20, 2026 |
| Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 539.11 | $0.082 | $44.21 | May 19, 2026 |
| Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | May 18, 2026 |
| Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.73 | $0.110 | $2.72 | May 18, 2026 |
| Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.64 | $0.109 | $2.47 | May 18, 2026 |
| Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.99 | $0.108 | $1.62 | May 18, 2026 |
| Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 23.28 | $0.108 | $2.51 | May 18, 2026 |
| Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 41.28 | $0.108 | $4.46 | May 18, 2026 |
| Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 36.34 | $0.117 | $4.25 | May 18, 2026 |