Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 52.53 | $0.990 | $52.29 | +$0.29 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 4 | $0.999 | $4 | Mar 31, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 2.68 |
| $0.746 |
| $2 |
| Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?No | buy | 8.04 | $0.996 | $8 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 10.98 | $0.978 | $10.74 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.900 | $2.25 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 GTA VI released before June 2026?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.968 | $2 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 28?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.930 | $3 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 52.53 | $0.990 | $52 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No | sell | 10.98 | $0.818 | $8.98 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 US bank failure by December 31?No | buy | 7.05 | $0.962 | $6.78 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 8.15 | $0.982 | $8 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?No | buy | 35.08 | $0.990 | $34.73 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No | sell | 34.76 | $0.999 | $34.73 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No | buy | 69.54 | $0.998 | $69.4 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?No | buy | 4.52 | $0.940 | $4.25 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Damascus by September 30?No | buy | 50.09 | $0.998 | $50 | Sep 29, 2025 |
.jpg) Will "The Strangers: Chapter 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 5.75m?No | buy | 14.8 | $0.946 | $14 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Will the price of Solana be between $160 and $170 on August 8?No | buy | 18.18 | $0.990 | $18 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 20.06 | $0.997 | $20 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Will Kyrie Irving opt in to his player option?No | buy | 68.01 | $0.998 | $67.87 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will TikTok be banned again before May?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.994 | $2 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before June?No | buy | 6.09 | $0.985 | $6 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce tariffs on Germany on April 2?No | buy | 3.41 | $0.880 | $3 | Mar 31, 2025 |
 U.S. recession before May 2025?No | buy | 4.05 | $0.988 | $4 | Mar 31, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.986 | $2 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Manchester United wins the Premier League?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.999 | $3.7 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Jan 17-24?Yes | buy | 47.37 | $0.106 | $5 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Jan 17-24?Yes | buy | 47.17 | $0.106 | $5 | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Jan 17-24?Yes | buy | 20.08 | $0.249 | $5 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Calin Georgescu arrested in 2024?No | buy | 2.19 | $0.940 | $2.06 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Megaquake in November?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.989 | $3 | Nov 27, 2024 |
 Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Nov 27, 2024 |
 Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.967 | $2 | Nov 25, 2024 |
 US bank failure before December?No | buy | 3.19 | $0.940 | $3 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Andrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2024?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.965 | $2 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 U.S. Recession in 2024?No | buy | 1.8 | $0.968 | $1.74 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will 538 call 44 states correctly?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.920 | $1.85 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will America ban Zyn in 2024?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Bitcoin new all time high before election?No | buy | 2.79 | $0.985 | $2.75 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will Trump win Missouri by 20+ points?No | buy | 4.32 | $0.840 | $3.63 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. win 5-6% of the popular vote?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.997 | $2.1 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?Trump | buy | 1.54 | $0.948 | $1.46 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Kamala wins 276-262 - PA, NV, MI, WINo | buy | 2.42 | $0.919 | $2.22 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will 2024 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 1.29 | $0.948 | $1.22 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Pocahontas" during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?Yes | buy | 2.69 | $0.930 | $2.5 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 TikTok banned in the US in 2024?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.963 | $1 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Will Athletic Bilbao win the UEFA Europa League?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | Nov 1, 2024 |