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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Warsh say "Tax" during July Press Conference?Yes | sell | 99.07 | $0.200 | $19.81 | Jul 24, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 32.54 |
| $0.200 |
| $6.51 |
| Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 25?Yes | sell | 28.99 | $0.198 | $5.75 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 24?Yes | sell | 1.34 | $0.250 | $0.34 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on July 24?Yes | sell | 2.49 | $0.200 | $0.5 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 19.98 | $0.190 | $3.8 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will no final Senate confirmation vote be held for Todd Blanche as Attorney General by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 19.98 | $0.120 | $2.4 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Elon post "China" on X this week?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 19?Yes | sell | 5.35 | $0.200 | $1.07 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 19?Yes | sell | 41.04 | $0.142 | $5.85 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 19.98 | $0.110 | $2.2 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 18?Yes | sell | 45.34 | $0.200 | $9.07 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 17?Yes | sell | 8.27 | $0.110 | $0.91 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on July 18?Yes | sell | 19.98 | $0.138 | $2.75 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 17?Yes | sell | 5.79 | $0.160 | $0.93 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the song of the summer?Yes | sell | 19.98 | $0.080 | $1.6 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 11.73 | $0.090 | $1.06 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.05 | $0.090 | $0.72 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 16?Yes | sell | 13.92 | $0.190 | $2.64 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 14?Yes | sell | 1.97 | $0.120 | $0.24 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 15?Yes | sell | 22.4 | $0.257 | $5.76 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 14?Yes | sell | 7.58 | $0.210 | $1.59 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Mary Peltola win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round?Yes | sell | 7.71 | $0.520 | $4.01 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump praise Allah again by July 31?Yes | sell | 23.06 | $0.240 | $5.53 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by July 31?Yes | sell | 22.35 | $0.310 | $6.93 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by July 31?Yes | sell | 14.98 | $0.300 | $4.5 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | sell | 8.44 | $0.270 | $2.28 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | sell | 7.91 | $0.270 | $2.14 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | sell | 8.4 | $0.280 | $2.35 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | sell | 21.98 | $0.310 | $6.81 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Yes | sell | 8.71 | $0.070 | $0.61 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Yes | sell | 9.25 | $0.060 | $0.55 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Yes | sell | 9.25 | $0.088 | $0.81 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Yes | sell | 9.02 | $0.131 | $1.18 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Yes | sell | 8.44 | $0.112 | $0.95 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Yes | sell | 8.98 | $0.147 | $1.32 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Yes | sell | 46.16 | $0.142 | $6.56 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Yes | sell | 23.66 | $0.154 | $3.65 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will the median home value in NYC be between $555,000 and $582,000 on September 30?Yes | sell | 10.47 | $0.126 | $1.32 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?Yes | sell | 6.07 | $0.170 | $1.03 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?Yes | sell | 10.94 | $0.320 | $3.5 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?Yes | sell | 11.47 | $0.190 | $2.18 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 9?Yes | sell | 184.59 | $0.008 | $1.47 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 9?Yes | sell | 42.5 | $0.020 | $0.85 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 8?Yes | sell | 5.99 | $0.208 | $1.25 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 8?Yes | sell | 32.86 | $0.230 | $7.56 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 9?Yes | sell | 27.12 | $0.130 | $3.53 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on July 8?Yes | sell | 18.23 | $0.150 | $2.73 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?Yes | sell | 8.3 | $0.190 | $1.58 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?Yes | sell | 8.82 | $0.200 | $1.76 | Jul 7, 2026 |