Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 204.08 | $0.490 | $109.18 | +$9.18 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.006 | $5 | 2d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 833.33 |
| $0.006 |
| $5.83 |
| +$0.83 |
| buy |
| 204.08 |
| $0.490 |
| $100 |
| 2d ago |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | buy | 100K | $0.001 | $100 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Yes | buy | 2.05K | $0.024 | $50 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 204.08 | $0.049 | $10 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 576.83 | $0.173 | $100 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?Yes | buy | 471.21 | $0.212 | $100 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | sell | 200 | $0.430 | $86 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 200 | $0.290 | $58 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will Stephen Miran dissent the next Fed decision?No | buy | 960.19 | $0.031 | $30 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 563.82 | $0.177 | $100 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 588.24 | $0.170 | $100 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 606.06 | $0.036 | $21.82 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 606.06 | $0.033 | $20 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 243.9 | $0.995 | $242.68 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 243.9 | $0.410 | $100 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman wear a suit and tie by Thursday?Yes | buy | 2.26K | $0.044 | $100 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 US government shutdown by October 1?Yes | sell | 156.25 | $0.760 | $118.75 | Sep 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 666.66 | $0.190 | $126.67 | Sep 27, 2025 |
| US government shutdown by October 1?Yes | buy | 156.25 | $0.640 | $100 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 126.22 | $0.792 | $100 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 666.67 | $0.150 | $100 | Sep 21, 2025 |
 Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.116 | $6.44 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.28K | $0.184 | $235.38 | Sep 11, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.28K | $0.057 | $73.02 | Sep 4, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.56K | $0.042 | $108.86 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Trump" during September press conference?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Sep 3, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.140 | $35 | Aug 31, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran by September 30?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.140 | $25 | Aug 27, 2025 |
| Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | Aug 26, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.400 | $100 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.12K | $0.020 | $100 | Aug 22, 2025 |