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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes | buy | 3.63K | $0.014 | $50 | Nov 20, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 6.85 |
| $0.730 |
| $5 |
| Oct 23, 2025 |
Will Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | Oct 23, 2025 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by December 31?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | Oct 23, 2025 |
Apple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?Yes | buy | 5.55 | $0.901 | $5 | Oct 23, 2025 |
Will CME self certify a sports contract in 2025?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Meta releases Llama 5 in 2025?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Oct 23, 2025 |
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?Yes | buy | 14.08 | $0.710 | $10 | Oct 23, 2025 |
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Oct 23, 2025 |
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Oct 23, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Yes | buy | 27.16 | $0.736 | $20 | Oct 23, 2025 |
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31?Yes | sell | 377.92 | $0.040 | $15.12 | Oct 18, 2025 |
Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100.17 | $0.399 | $40 | Oct 17, 2025 |
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31?Yes | buy | 377.93 | $0.132 | $50 | Oct 17, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Yes | buy | 130.84 | $0.459 | $60 | Oct 9, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Yes | sell | 145.68 | $0.431 | $62.84 | Oct 9, 2025 |
Will a Millennium Prize Problem be solved before the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 545.19 | $0.037 | $19.97 | Oct 5, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.300 | $60 | Oct 3, 2025 |
Will a Millennium Prize Problem be solved before the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 574.57 | $0.035 | $20 | Oct 3, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 596.67 | $0.012 | $7.15 | Sep 29, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Yes | buy | 145.68 | $0.686 | $100 | Sep 29, 2025 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?Yes | sell | 2.67K | $0.040 | $107.16 | Sep 29, 2025 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.67K | $0.070 | $185.98 | Jul 23, 2025 |