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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 14.75 | $0.400 | $5.9 | Mar 14, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 183.22 |
| $0.032 |
| $5.9 |
| Mar 14, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | buy | 183.22 | $0.090 | $16.49 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | sell | 5.5K | $0.003 | $16.49 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 5.5K | $0.022 | $120.93 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No | sell | 3.09K | $0.014 | $44.26 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | sell | 3.91K | $0.017 | $67.07 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.74K | $0.027 | $73.25 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 2.46K | $0.041 | $100 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?Yes | buy | 8.24K | $0.018 | $150 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No | buy | 3.09K | $0.025 | $77.43 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.040 | $40 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.045 | $45 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 2.68K | $0.037 | $99.05 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | sell | 813.66 | $0.122 | $99.28 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 1.24K | $0.038 | $46.73 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?Yes | sell | 601.22 | $0.063 | $37.83 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?No | sell | 320.61 | $0.620 | $198.83 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.161 | $46 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | sell | 170.99 | $0.051 | $8.74 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | sell | 315.5 | $0.057 | $18.13 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | sell | 490.21 | $0.030 | $14.71 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 527.95 | $0.161 | $85 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?Yes | buy | 136 | $0.052 | $7.04 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?Yes | buy | 39.59 | $0.044 | $1.75 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | sell | 1.74K | $0.043 | $74.15 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | sell | 1.63K | $0.056 | $90.5 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?No | buy | 320.62 | $0.312 | $99.95 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.27K | $0.066 | $83.23 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 2.23K | $0.037 | $83 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 2.12K | $0.019 | $41 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?Yes | buy | 1.87K | $0.040 | $75 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 1.11K | $0.029 | $32.23 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 6.33K | $0.005 | $32.23 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.33K | $0.009 | $56.97 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 59.29 | $0.961 | $56.98 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 765.71 | $0.016 | $12.1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.98K | $0.015 | $44.26 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 59.29 | $0.951 | $56.36 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 118.59 | $0.970 | $115.03 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.011 | $110 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?No | sell | 14K | $0.005 | $70 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?No | buy | 5K | $0.005 | $25 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?No | buy | 5K | $0.005 | $25 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?No | buy | 17.45K | $0.006 | $110 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 507.36 | $0.197 | $100 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 135.71 | $0.280 | $38 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?No | buy | 314.57 | $0.636 | $200 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by August 31?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.060 | $8 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?Yes | buy | 51.28 | $0.390 | $20 | Aug 8, 2025 |