Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 2.27 | $0.880 | $2.23 | +$0.23 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 4.42 |
| $0.452 |
| $1.97 |
| -$0.03 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1.54 | +$0.54 |
 Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | Yes | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1.21 | +$0.21 |
 Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1.2 | +$0.2 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1.2 | +$0.2 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 7.17 | $0.279 | $1.04 | -$0.96 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 1.16 | $0.860 | $0.81 | -$0.19 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | Yes | 9.09 | $0.110 | $0.73 | -$0.27 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 2.99 | $0.670 | $0.34 | -$1.66 |
 Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.100 | $0.31 | -$0.7 |
 Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? | Yes | 1.61 | $0.620 | $0.24 | -$0.76 |
| Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 22.22 | $0.045 | $0.07 | -$0.93 |
| buy |
| 2.86 |
| $0.700 |
| $2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes | buy | 3.24 | $0.618 | $2 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.640 | $0.97 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 4.92 | $0.610 | $3 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Khamenei seen in public by March 1?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Yes | sell | 3.03 | $0.310 | $0.94 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Prince Andrew released by February 22?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Prince Andrew released by February 20?No | buy | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on February 23, 2026?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 19, 2026?No | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 23, 2026?No | buy | 3.59 | $0.556 | $2 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 21, 2026?No | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 2.35 | $0.850 | $2 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.99 | $0.670 | $2 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 7.17 | $0.279 | $2 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 2.41 | $0.830 | $2 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 2.12 | $0.945 | $2 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Government shutdown on Saturday?No | sell | 5 | $0.857 | $4.29 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Nancy Guthrie kidnapper arrested by February 28?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 12, 2026?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No | buy | 4.37 | $0.458 | $2 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Government shutdown on Saturday?No | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 12, 2026?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 14, 2026?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Feb 8, 2026 |