Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 1.88K | $0.812 | $1.81K | +$282.95 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.410 | $24.6 | 5d ago |
|
| No |
| 1.6K |
| $0.500 |
| $1.37K |
| +$568.8 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 1K | $0.500 | $759.5 | +$259.5 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1K | $0.500 | $502.5 | +$2.5 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 1K | $0.500 | $497.5 | -$2.5 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 500 | $0.500 | $462.5 | +$212.5 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 280 | $0.920 | $261.8 | +$4.2 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1K | $0.500 | $240.5 | -$259.5 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.6K | $0.500 | $231.2 | -$568.8 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 50 | $0.800 | $42.25 | +$2.25 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.500 | $37.5 | -$212.5 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 50 | $0.530 | $23.25 | -$3.25 |
| buy |
| 50 |
| $0.328 |
| $16.4 |
| 22d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.328 | $3.28 | 22d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.800 | $40 | 27d ago |
 Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?No | sell | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.620 | $3.1 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.610 | $3.05 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 200 | $0.920 | $184 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.940 | $188 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 50 | $0.870 | $43.5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.920 | $46 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 80 | $0.920 | $73.6 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSpain | buy | 5 | $0.703 | $3.51 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.171 | $85.64 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?No | sell | 500 | $0.810 | $405 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 50 | $0.840 | $42 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.149 | $5.96 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.707 | $7.07 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.890 | $8.9 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.870 | $8.7 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.911 | $4.56 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.7 | $0.282 | $1.04 | May 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.870 | $4.35 | May 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.880 | $4.4 | May 28, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | May 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.890 | $4.45 | May 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.99 | $0.940 | $4.69 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 120 | $0.870 | $104.4 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.96 | $0.890 | $4.41 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.039 | $1.01 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.880 | $88 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?No | sell | 99.99 | $0.646 | $64.61 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.880 | $8.8 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.880 | $8.8 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.420 | $8.4 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.860 | $86 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.020 | $10 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?No | buy | 6.66 | $0.680 | $4.53 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.063 | $31.5 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 300 | $0.900 | $270 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.681 | $6.81 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 700 | $0.850 | $595 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.840 | $84 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.840 | $84 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.830 | $83 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 100 | $0.970 | $97 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No | sell | 5 | $0.720 | $3.6 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.910 | $50.05 | Feb 17, 2026 |