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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 10.35 | $0.670 | $8.95 | +$2.02 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | Jul 15, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 16.51 |
| $0.420 |
| $8.67 |
| +$1.73 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 8.46 | $0.820 | $8.13 | +$1.2 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 8.46 | $0.820 | $7.95 | +$1.02 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 8.26 | $0.840 | $7.81 | +$0.87 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 12 | $0.490 | $6.66 | +$0.78 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 11.66 | $0.600 | $6.59 | -$0.41 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 8.87 | $0.750 | $6.34 | -$0.31 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? | No | 6.27 | $0.797 | $5.91 | +$0.91 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.71 | +$0.67 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 10.4 | $0.450 | $5.15 | +$0.47 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 9 | $0.490 | $5.09 | +$0.68 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 13.5 | $0.380 | $4.66 | -$0.47 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 9 | $0.390 | $4.55 | +$1.04 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | No | 8 | $0.270 | $3.16 | +$1 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 9.21 | $0.250 | $2.67 | +$0.37 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 9 | $0.230 | $2.48 | +$0.41 |
 Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 12.25 | $0.440 | $1.9 | -$3.49 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 3.03 | $0.564 | $1.71 | +$0 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | Yes | 8.75 | $0.200 | $1.62 | -$0.13 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.210 | $1.45 | -$0.65 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 11.37 | $0.610 | $1.02 | -$5.91 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6 | $0.220 | $0.39 | -$0.93 |
| buy |
| 9.18 |
| $0.500 |
| $4.59 |
| Jul 11, 2026 |
 Progressive (PGR) Q2 combined ratio <86%?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.330 | $2.31 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.240 | $1.5 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No | buy | 7.55 | $0.656 | $4.95 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?No | buy | 7.87 | $0.630 | $4.96 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June?Yes | buy | 8.8 | $0.560 | $4.93 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.89 | $0.299 | $2.06 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.02 | $0.269 | $1.62 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of July 6 2026?Yes | buy | 8.13 | $0.610 | $4.96 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $68 on July 6?No | buy | 9.97 | $0.347 | $3.46 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 Week of July 6 2026?Yes | buy | 2.72 | $0.740 | $2.01 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be below -4% in May?No | buy | 9.07 | $0.550 | $4.99 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of June 22 2026?Yes | buy | 6.81 | $0.740 | $5.04 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $212 Week of June 22 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes | buy | 6.38 | $0.790 | $5.04 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No | buy | 8.96 | $0.790 | $7.08 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No | buy | 9 | $0.490 | $4.41 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?No | buy | 6.27 | $0.797 | $5 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.564 | $1.71 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Job" 15+ times during June Press Conference?Yes | buy | 3.58 | $0.480 | $1.72 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Trend" during June Press Conference?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.430 | $5.16 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "FED" during June Press Conference?No | buy | 10.41 | $0.340 | $3.54 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Chair" during June Press Conference?Yes | buy | 8.86 | $0.790 | $7 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No | buy | 8.87 | $0.750 | $6.65 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.480 | $6.24 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?No | buy | 8.15 | $0.400 | $3.26 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 6 | $0.270 | $1.62 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.290 | $1.74 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo | buy | 6.36 | $0.220 | $1.4 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.390 | $3.51 | May 30, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.5 | $0.280 | $2.66 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes | buy | 9 | $0.240 | $2.16 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?No | buy | 12.25 | $0.440 | $5.39 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 13.5 | $0.380 | $5.13 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?Yes | buy | 8.8 | $0.450 | $3.96 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 10.4 | $0.450 | $4.68 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.210 | $1.26 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 8.75 | $0.200 | $1.75 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?No | buy | 7 | $0.310 | $2.17 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?No | buy | 9.12 | $0.770 | $7.02 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 9 | $0.230 | $2.07 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $22.5B?No | buy | 8.65 | $0.570 | $4.93 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.3B?No | buy | 6 | $0.290 | $1.74 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?No | buy | 8 | $0.270 | $2.16 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No | buy | 12.06 | $0.567 | $6.84 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $3.50 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.36 | $0.670 | $4.93 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.490 | $5.88 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 15%+?Yes | buy | 8.5 | $0.220 | $1.87 | May 20, 2026 |