Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NATO dissolves before 2027? | Yes | 55.56 | $0.090 | $0.92 | -$4.08 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.009 | $3 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 5K |
| $0.002 |
| $10 |
| Jun 2, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.002 | $20 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.002 | $20 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Yes | buy | 17.9 | $0.335 | $6 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | sell | 116.92 | $0.922 | $107.8 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.026 | $2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Military action against Iran ends by March 29, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.63 | $0.084 | $3 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends by March 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.55 | $0.068 | $2 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes | buy | 21.43 | $0.140 | $3 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| NATO dissolves before 2027?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.015 | $3 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 51.72 | $0.058 | $3 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ETDown | buy | 19.96 | $0.050 | $1 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETDown | buy | 14.46 | $0.069 | $1 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.027 | $1 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETUp | buy | 34.47 | $0.029 | $1 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?Yes | buy | 42.86 | $0.070 | $3 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Yes | buy | 10.34 | $0.290 | $3 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | sell | 3.85 | $0.995 | $3.83 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 5.32 | $0.188 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.779 | $3 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 5K | $0.002 | $10 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 3K | $0.004 | $12 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.005 | $6 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 1K | $0.025 | $25 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 627.41 | $0.032 | $20.23 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 540.54 | $0.037 | $20 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 714.29 | $0.028 | $20 | Feb 28, 2026 |