Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US recession by end of 2026? | Yes | 18.52 | $0.270 | $1.39 | -$3.61 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.020 |
| $2 |
| Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 96.15 | $0.052 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 37.34 | $0.530 | $19.79 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will State Farm run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No | buy | 70.97 | $0.014 | $1 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Seahawks vs. PatriotsPatriots | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETUp | buy | 2.96 | $0.330 | $0.98 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump deport 2,000,000 or more people?Yes | buy | 112.22 | $0.009 | $1 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?Yes | buy | 107.77 | $0.093 | $10 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 22.72 | $0.450 | $10.22 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?No | sell | 41.53 | $0.975 | $40.49 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?No | buy | 41.53 | $0.602 | $25 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "2026" this week? (January 18)Yes | buy | 17.65 | $0.510 | $9 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?No | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?Yes | sell | 128 | $0.300 | $38.42 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?Yes | buy | 128 | $0.250 | $32 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | sell | 59.61 | $0.510 | $30.4 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Maduro in U.S. custody by December 31?Yes | sell | 148.52 | $0.027 | $3.97 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 10.91 | $0.550 | $6 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Bank of England rate cut in 2025?No | buy | 26.01 | $0.038 | $1 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the December meeting?No | buy | 32.26 | $0.031 | $1 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce an increase at the December meeting?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Odds of Maduro out in 2025 Under 15% by Friday?No | buy | 25.66 | $0.390 | $10 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro again by December 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.400 | $10 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro again by December 31?Yes | buy | 50.15 | $0.399 | $20 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Odds of US x Venezuela military engagement in 2025 on Monday over 50%?Yes | sell | 74.91 | $0.060 | $4.49 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Odds of US x Venezuela military engagement in 2025 on Monday over 50%?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Odds of US x Venezuela military engagement in 2025 on Monday over 50%?Yes | buy | 41.59 | $0.240 | $10 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?No | buy | 25.21 | $0.119 | $3 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?Yes | sell | 128.2 | $0.965 | $123.71 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 59.62 | $0.520 | $31 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.060 | $2 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will Charlie Kirk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.024 | $2 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Maduro in U.S. custody by December 31?Yes | buy | 148.53 | $0.067 | $10 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?Yes | buy | 128.21 | $0.390 | $50 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?No | buy | 28.41 | $0.070 | $2 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 10–15%?Yes | sell | 13.19 | $0.165 | $2.18 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 10–15%?Yes | buy | 13.19 | $0.379 | $5 | Oct 21, 2025 |