Analytics
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 350 | $0.995 | $348.25 | May 22, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 340 |
| $0.995 |
| $338.3 |
| May 21, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 340 | $0.996 | $338.64 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | sell | 100 | $0.995 | $99.5 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 100 | $0.996 | $99.6 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 157 | $0.941 | $147.74 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 157 | $0.951 | $149.31 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 314 | $0.930 | $292.02 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 364.99 | $0.970 | $354.04 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?No | buy | 178.96 | $0.951 | $170.19 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 214.8 | $0.960 | $206.21 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?No | sell | 87.72 | $0.987 | $86.58 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 8.45 | $0.140 | $1.18 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?No | buy | 87.72 | $0.987 | $86.58 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 33.85 | $0.680 | $23.02 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Maduro out by November 30, 2025?No | buy | 119.37 | $0.955 | $114 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 42.31 | $0.520 | $22 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 314.91 | $0.968 | $304.83 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 314.91 | $0.959 | $302 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?No | buy | 135.19 | $0.932 | $126 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?No | buy | 127.25 | $0.998 | $127 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 99.69 | $0.983 | $98 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 26.6 | $0.940 | $25 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31?No | sell | 13.15 | $0.800 | $10.52 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No | sell | 16.94 | $0.780 | $13.21 | Oct 11, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 16.95 | $0.590 | $10 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | Dec 15, 2024 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31?No | buy | 21.51 | $0.930 | $20 | Dec 15, 2024 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?Yes | buy | 34.13 | $0.293 | $10 | Nov 21, 2024 |
 Will $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?$4000 | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Nov 21, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 26.53 | $0.377 | $10 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | buy | 10.18 | $0.982 | $10 | Oct 28, 2024 |