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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alfred Cannan be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man? | Yes | 130.26 | $0.384 | $56.66 | +$6.66 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Rob Callister be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?Yes | buy | 87.98 | $0.057 | $5 | 2d ago |
|
| No |
| 10.1 |
| $0.990 |
| $9.86 |
| -$0.14 |
| Will Rob Callister be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man? | Yes | 87.98 | $0.057 | $4.27 | -$0.73 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 4.22 | $0.640 | $1.16 | -$1.54 |
 Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 159.96 | $0.063 | $0.88 | -$9.12 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027? | No | 1.72 | $0.580 | $0.27 | -$0.73 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | Yes | 2.08 | $0.480 | $0.21 | -$0.79 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again? | Yes | 2.46 | $0.570 | $0.16 | -$1.24 |
 Deel IPO before 2027? | Yes | 1.41 | $0.710 | $0.06 | -$0.94 |
| buy |
| 130.26 |
| $0.384 |
| $50 |
| 2d ago |
| Will Alex Allinson be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?No | buy | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10 | 2d ago |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No | sell | 2.22 | $0.580 | $1.29 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.09 | $0.910 | $0.99 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 159.96 | $0.063 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | sell | 909.74 | $0.092 | $83.52 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 225 | $0.155 | $34.95 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | sell | 173.28 | $0.292 | $50.66 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 1.35K | $0.004 | $5 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 232.56 | $0.043 | $10 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 1.08K | $0.046 | $50 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 225 | $0.150 | $33.75 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | sell | 857.7 | $0.071 | $61.09 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 12?Yes | buy | 329.33 | $0.003 | $0.9 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.9 | $0.900 | $1.71 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 348.62 | $0.057 | $20 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?No | sell | 2 | $0.530 | $1.06 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.130 | $1.08 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Natural Disaster in 2026?No | sell | 3.77 | $0.700 | $2.64 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 450 | $0.100 | $45 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 509.09 | $0.059 | $30 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?No | sell | 3.7 | $0.560 | $2.07 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.57 | $0.765 | $1.97 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.94 | $0.500 | $1.47 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No | sell | 1.09 | $0.950 | $1.04 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiYes | sell | 1.63 | $0.830 | $1.35 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | sell | 4.54 | $0.600 | $2.72 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?No | sell | 1.52 | $0.880 | $1.34 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?No | sell | 2.27 | $0.890 | $2.02 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?No | sell | 1.33 | $0.860 | $1.14 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 5.74 | $0.870 | $4.99 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | sell | 16.66 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?No | sell | 1.51 | $0.830 | $1.25 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Iran strike on US military by January 31?No | sell | 1.42 | $0.980 | $1.39 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | sell | 4.34 | $0.800 | $3.47 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.66 | $0.780 | $4.41 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.1 | $0.890 | $4.54 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Negative GDP growth in 2026?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.867 | $0.97 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 1.66 | $0.940 | $1.56 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | sell | 3.57 | $0.320 | $1.14 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Databricks IPO before 2027?No | sell | 2.77 | $0.460 | $1.27 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 NATO dissolves before 2027?No | sell | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.57 | $0.870 | $7.46 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiYes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| NATO dissolves before 2027?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |