Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 14.63 | $0.090 | $1.32 | May 12, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 18.18 |
| $0.032 |
| $0.58 |
| May 7, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.037 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.020 | $2 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 15.22 | $0.327 | $4.98 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | sell | 7.14 | $0.350 | $2.5 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 14.93 | $0.067 | $1 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.055 | $1 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 14.93 | $0.067 | $1 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.72 | $0.028 | $0.3 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 13.33 | $0.140 | $1.87 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 42.85 | $0.070 | $3 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | sell | 4.54 | $0.480 | $2.18 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | sell | 5.47 | $0.976 | $5.34 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 5.47 | $0.972 | $5.32 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 42.86 | $0.070 | $3 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.72 | $0.093 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will Google reach $375 in January?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 9.86 | $0.995 | $9.81 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | sell | 22.72 | $0.006 | $0.14 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | sell | 8.06 | $0.015 | $0.12 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | sell | 44.78 | $0.003 | $0.13 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 9.87 | $0.996 | $9.83 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.014 | $0.09 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Employment" or "Unemployment" 15+ times during speech on October 14?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 35+ times during speech on October 14?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced by October 31?No | sell | 2.17 | $0.966 | $2.1 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Portland Timbers win on 2025-09-24?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Sep 24, 2025 |
| Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Portland Timbers end in a draw?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Sep 24, 2025 |
| Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 44.78 | $0.022 | $1 | Sep 24, 2025 |
| Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.044 | $1 | Sep 24, 2025 |
| Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 8.06 | $0.124 | $1 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-04?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| TikTok sale announced by October 31?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 49.35 | $0.160 | $7.9 | Jun 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 248.12 | $0.017 | $4.22 | Jun 27, 2025 |