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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 221.98 | $0.140 | $14.43 | -$16.57 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.69 | $0.213 | $1 | 23d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 97.79 |
| $0.164 |
| $13.2 |
| -$2.8 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 26.09 | $0.230 | $8.61 | +$2.61 |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? | No | 8.62 | $0.580 | $8.19 | +$3.19 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 9.09 | $0.550 | $8.14 | +$3.14 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 7.04 | $0.710 | $6.51 | +$1.51 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 13.33 | $0.750 | $6.07 | -$3.93 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 9.43 | $0.530 | $4.95 | -$0.05 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 21.58 | $0.139 | $4.35 | +$1.35 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.94 | $0.340 | $2.54 | +$1.54 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 16.39 | $0.061 | $2.17 | +$1.17 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 4 | $0.250 | $2.1 | +$1.1 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 4.69 | $0.213 | $1.98 | +$0.98 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 250 | $0.004 | $1.88 | +$0.88 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1.1 | +$0.1 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.400 | $0.81 | -$4.19 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.5 | $0.400 | $0.64 | -$0.36 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 3.79 | $0.264 | $0.55 | -$0.45 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.85 | $0.260 | $0.52 | -$0.48 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | Yes | 6.67 | $0.150 | $0.43 | -$0.57 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 76.92 | $0.013 | $0.35 | -$0.65 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 11.11 | $0.090 | $0.29 | -$0.71 |
 Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 2.94 | $0.340 | $0.25 | -$0.75 |
| buy |
| 76.92 |
| $0.013 |
| $1 |
| 23d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | 23d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | 23d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | 23d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 336.24 | $0.021 | $7 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 35.29 | $0.170 | $6 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?Yes | buy | 52 | $0.019 | $1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Yes | buy | 7.46 | $0.134 | $1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | sell | 53.76 | $0.031 | $1.67 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 30.58 | $0.327 | $10 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 48.08 | $0.104 | $5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 53.19 | $0.094 | $5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 214.29 | $0.140 | $30 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 96.77 | $0.031 | $3 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 26.09 | $0.230 | $6 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 108.7 | $0.046 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 80.65 | $0.062 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 73.53 | $0.068 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 51.55 | $0.097 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 46.3 | $0.108 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 31.06 | $0.161 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.162 | $6 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 15.2 | $0.329 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.076 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 11.24 | $0.089 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.052 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 8.85 | $0.113 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 6.21 | $0.161 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.65 | $0.177 | $1 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.011 | $22 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.057 | $3 | May 11, 2026 |
 Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | May 8, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 53.76 | $0.093 | $5 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.24 | $0.089 | $1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.79 | $0.770 | $6 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.2 | $0.098 | $1 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?No | buy | 3.04 | $0.329 | $1 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Mar 11, 2026 |