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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.14 | $0.215 | $2.18 | 9d ago |
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| buy |
| 20.91 |
| $0.520 |
| $10.88 |
| 19d ago |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 16.23 | $0.690 | $11.2 | 23d ago |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.09 | $0.110 | $1.99 | Aug 3, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 36.9 | $0.380 | $14.02 | Jul 31, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 36.92 | $0.360 | $13.29 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m?Yes | sell | 41 | $0.059 | $2.41 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?Yes | buy | 14.77 | $0.260 | $3.84 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.133 | $5.44 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 75.67 | $0.016 | $1.21 | Jul 11, 2026 |
Grok 4.4 released by July 8?Yes | sell | 28.66 | $0.250 | $7.17 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Grok 4.4 released by July 31?No | buy | 72.13 | $0.014 | $1.02 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Grok 4.4 released by July 8?Yes | buy | 28.67 | $0.863 | $24.74 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Outside" this week?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.057 | $1.71 | Jul 7, 2026 |
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?Yes | sell | 39 | $0.833 | $32.5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.450 | $17.55 | Jul 3, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 106.76 | $0.166 | $17.72 | Jul 3, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 106.76 | $0.348 | $37.1 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?Yes | sell | 85 | $0.441 | $37.47 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?Yes | buy | 85 | $0.400 | $34 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 8.5 | $0.009 | $0.08 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 35m?Yes | buy | 60.1 | $0.079 | $4.75 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?Yes | buy | 44.12 | $0.956 | $42.18 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.158 | $9.47 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.400 | $24 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?Yes | sell | 66.73 | $0.863 | $57.59 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will Qatar recognize Israel by June 30?Yes | sell | 67.56 | $0.003 | $0.18 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?Yes | buy | 66.74 | $0.956 | $63.8 | Jun 10, 2026 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 197.5 | $0.020 | $3.95 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?Yes | buy | 64.16 | $0.819 | $52.56 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 48m?Yes | buy | 1.82K | $0.049 | $90 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 48m?Yes | buy | 295.35 | $0.041 | $12 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Will "Backrooms" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?Yes | sell | 85.2 | $0.030 | $2.59 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?Yes | sell | 81.42 | $0.482 | $39.21 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Will "Backrooms" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?Yes | buy | 85.2 | $0.129 | $11 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?Yes | sell | 27.13 | $0.467 | $12.68 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 36m?No | buy | 54.91 | $0.910 | $49.97 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?Yes | buy | 51.01 | $0.392 | $20 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 27m?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?Yes | buy | 108.56 | $0.322 | $35 | Jun 3, 2026 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 197.5 | $0.030 | $5.93 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?No | sell | 175.48 | $0.242 | $42.53 | May 31, 2026 |
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?No | buy | 37.5 | $0.080 | $3 | May 30, 2026 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 395 | $0.050 | $19.75 | May 29, 2026 |
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 285.43 | $0.466 | $133.01 | May 28, 2026 |
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 285.43 | $0.430 | $122.85 | May 27, 2026 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No | sell | 300 | $0.007 | $2.05 | May 27, 2026 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No | sell | 807.45 | $0.016 | $12.53 | May 26, 2026 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No | sell | 2.71K | $0.031 | $84.5 | May 26, 2026 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No | buy | 2.81K | $0.022 | $61.73 | May 26, 2026 |