Analytics
Rank, Total PnL and Observed Volume retain the selected Observed 80K snapshot. Positions, chart and recent trades are independent Polymarket observations. Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 20.5K | $0.795 | $16.3K | +$7.71 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2K | $0.800 | $1.6K | 1d ago |
|
| No |
| 20K |
| $0.810 |
| $15.9K |
| -$299.66 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 5.85K | $0.729 | $5.47K | +$1.2K |
 Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.76K | $0.948 | $1.7K | +$28.75 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 2K | $0.708 | $1.67K | +$255 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.27K | $0.913 | $1.23K | +$72.6 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2K | $0.660 | $1.23K | -$90 |
 Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? | No | 802.92 | $0.804 | $739.49 | +$93.5 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | No | 500 | $0.910 | $484.75 | +$29.75 |
| Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? | Yes | 850 | $0.336 | $148.75 | -$137.25 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 1.62K | $0.229 | $16.23 | -$355.76 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 489.96 | $0.118 | $1.22 | -$56.66 |
| buy |
| 2K |
| $0.790 |
| $1.58K |
| 1d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 6K | $0.333 | $2K | 1d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.390 | $780 | 1d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 630.05 | $0.450 | $283.21 | 8d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.550 | $2.75K | 8d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.500 | $1K | 9d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 105 | $0.263 | $27.6 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 733 | $0.282 | $206.46 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.440 | $220 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.440 | $132 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.877 | $350.84 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.690 | $6.9 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 500 | $0.860 | $430 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | buy | 300 | $0.760 | $228 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 500 | $0.829 | $414.67 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.560 | $5.6 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 500 | $0.730 | $365 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.530 | $265 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.37K | $0.621 | $1.47K | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 1.3K | $0.956 | $1.24K | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?No | buy | 100 | $0.740 | $74 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?No | buy | 100 | $0.740 | $74 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 3.15K | $0.847 | $2.67K | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 230 | $0.969 | $222.87 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 700 | $0.975 | $682.5 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?No | sell | 600 | $0.006 | $3.6 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?No | buy | 200 | $0.103 | $20.66 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?No | buy | 200 | $0.110 | $22 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | buy | 150 | $0.550 | $82.5 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.940 | $940 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.470 | $47 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.765 | $7.65K | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 3K | $0.610 | $1.83K | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.780 | $1.56K | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 700 | $0.500 | $350 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 800 | $0.500 | $400 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | sell | 472.36 | $0.998 | $471.42 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.281 | $56.2 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.150 | $90 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.850 | $1.7K | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.820 | $820 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No | sell | 4.99K | $0.999 | $4.99K | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.520 | $260 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.490 | $245 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.850 | $2.55K | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 500 | $0.830 | $415 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?No | sell | 120.02 | $0.160 | $19.2 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.972 | $972 | Jun 16, 2026 |