Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 44.94 | $0.890 | $43.53 | +$3.53 |
 Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 48.75 | $0.900 | $43.88 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 25.32 |
| $0.790 |
| $22.15 |
| +$2.15 |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026? | No | 19.61 | $0.510 | $14.61 | +$4.61 |
 Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | Yes | 30.29 | $0.330 | $13.33 | +$3.33 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 13.33 | $0.750 | $12.33 | +$2.33 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.160 | $0.42 | -$1.58 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 13.33 | $0.150 | $0.06 | -$1.94 |
| buy |
| 68.85 |
| $0.029 |
| $2 |
| Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Hegseth say "Game" during press conference?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Hegseth say "AI" or "Cyber" during press conference?Yes | buy | 103.37 | $0.019 | $2 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Hegseth say "Asset" during press conference?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Hegseth say "Leak" or "Leaker" during press conference?Yes | buy | 533.87 | $0.004 | $2 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.042 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 16.95 | $0.590 | $10 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.005 | $2 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.320 | $20 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.050 | $20 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.93K | $0.008 | $15 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?Yes | buy | 64.52 | $0.062 | $4 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?Yes | buy | 312.84 | $0.240 | $75 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?Yes | buy | 73.93 | $0.135 | $10 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?Yes | buy | 161.55 | $0.062 | $10 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?Yes | buy | 83.5 | $0.060 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 19.64 | $0.560 | $11 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 12.05 | $0.415 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 15.8 | $0.633 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes | buy | 30.29 | $0.330 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.640 | $20 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | sell | 11.9 | $0.624 | $7.43 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 456.52 | $0.998 | $455.61 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.58 | $0.177 | $4 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.012 | $5 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 108.7 | $0.046 | $5 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.090 | $2 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 51.28 | $0.039 | $2 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Hyperliquid Up or Down on February 20?Down | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will the US capture Khamenei before 2027?Yes | buy | 133.82 | $0.112 | $15 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Starmer out by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.021 | $15 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.140 | $25 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 898.26 | $0.022 | $20 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will the US capture Khamenei before 2027?Yes | buy | 136.36 | $0.110 | $15 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.003 | $30 | Feb 19, 2026 |