Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 27.78 | $0.036 | $0.99 | -$0.01 |
 Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 5 |
| $0.200 |
| $0.51 |
| -$0.49 |
 Natural Disaster in 2026? | Yes | 2.08 | $0.480 | $0.41 | -$0.59 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 11.76 | $0.170 | $0.37 | -$1.63 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 7.69 | $0.130 | $0.3 | -$0.7 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | Yes | 2.94 | $0.340 | $0.24 | -$0.76 |
 Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | Yes | 2.56 | $0.390 | $0.14 | -$0.86 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 7.69 | $0.130 | $0.13 | -$0.87 |
| buy |
| 31.25 |
| $0.320 |
| $10 |
| Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "NATO" during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 2.77K | $0.042 | $114.94 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 US civil war before 2027?Yes | buy | 60.98 | $0.082 | $5 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Natural Disaster in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.041 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.51 | $0.570 | $2 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.041 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Epstein client list released by June 30?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Army vs. NavyArmy | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?No | sell | 9.09 | $0.850 | $7.73 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Army vs. NavyArmy | buy | 5.17 | $0.600 | $3.1 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 20?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Cowboys vs. RaidersCowboys | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will more than 2.8 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by November 16?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Eagles vs. PackersPackers | buy | 6.12 | $0.490 | $3 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 28.33 | $0.035 | $1 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during Egypt summit?Yes | buy | 6.71 | $0.149 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during Egypt summit?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?No | sell | 4 | $0.100 | $0.4 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025?Yes | sell | 39.21 | $0.032 | $1.25 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in 2025?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.035 | $0.58 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?No | sell | 1.26 | $0.860 | $1.08 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Bills vs. FalconsFalcons | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 15?Yes | buy | 122.22 | $0.008 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Oct 3, 2025 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.036 | $1 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran by October 31?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran before 2026?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Oct 3, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?No | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Oct 3, 2025 |