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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 509.99 | $0.397 | $256.27 | +$53.57 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.930 | $18.6 | 1d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 145.45 |
| $0.440 |
| $101.09 |
| +$37.09 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 510 | $0.246 | $99.71 | -$25.86 |
 Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 200 | $0.400 | $77 | -$3 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 210 | $0.198 | $50.51 | +$8.93 |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 79.41 | $0.415 | $43.28 | +$10.28 |
| Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 42.99 | $0.898 | $40.41 | +$1.81 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 31.99 | $0.894 | $29.7 | +$1.09 |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 29.41 | $0.680 | $24.12 | +$4.12 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 210.01 | $0.137 | $20.58 | -$8.19 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 20 | $0.880 | $19.1 | +$1.5 |
| Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 10 | $0.949 | $9.73 | +$0.24 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 14.51 | $0.689 | $9.34 | -$0.66 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? | No | 5 | $0.985 | $4.97 | +$0.04 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.969 | $4.91 | +$0.07 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.930 | $4.68 | +$0.03 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | No | 10 | $0.510 | $3.45 | -$1.65 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 39.81 | $0.117 | $2.91 | -$1.75 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | No | 2 | $0.890 | $1.99 | +$0.21 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 2 | $0.545 | $1.81 | +$0.72 |
| buy |
| 9.99 |
| $0.927 |
| $9.26 |
| 1d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No | sell | 400 | $0.310 | $124 | 17d ago |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.985 | $4.93 | 17d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.969 | $4.85 | 17d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | 17d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.966 | $4.83 | 17d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.900 | $180 | 17d ago |
| Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 22.99 | $0.870 | $20 | 20d ago |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.680 | $20 | 20d ago |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.440 | $20 | 20d ago |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | 20d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 190 | $0.993 | $188.67 | 20d ago |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 6.89 | $0.216 | $1.49 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 4.53 | $0.033 | $0.15 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.450 | $45 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 79.76 | $0.627 | $50 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 64.94 | $0.770 | $50 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 56.82 | $0.880 | $50 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?No | buy | 23.81 | $0.840 | $20 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.160 | $8 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.920 | $20 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 90.91 | $0.550 | $50 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Lionel Messi score 11+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 20 | $0.993 | $19.86 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 22.16 | $0.250 | $5.54 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 20.79 | $0.962 | $20 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 20.47 | $0.977 | $20 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 16.5 | $0.606 | $10 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.921 | $2 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 6.9 | $0.290 | $2 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 4.54 | $0.441 | $2 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.380 | $3.8 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 499.99 | $0.402 | $201 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.586 | $58.6 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.586 | $58.6 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will France finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.650 | $65 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 10 | $0.773 | $7.73 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 500 | $0.773 | $386.5 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5Over | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| England vs. Argentina: England O/U 0.5Over | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreYes | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?Yes | buy | 2.99 | $0.335 | $1 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceEngland | buy | 37.04 | $0.540 | $20 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 14.51 | $0.689 | $10 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5Over | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Harry Kane: 1+ shotsYes | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Jude Bellingham: 1+ shotsYes | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Jul 15, 2026 |