Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 15.4 | $0.975 | $15.16 | +$0.15 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 7.93 | $0.975 | $7.73 | May 31, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 7.47 |
| $0.974 |
| $7.28 |
| May 31, 2026 |
 Will Éder Militão be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?No | buy | 8.66 | $0.998 | $8.64 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 end of April?No | buy | 10.98 | $0.990 | $10.87 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No | buy | 10.02 | $0.996 | $9.98 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 end of April?No | buy | 10.28 | $0.997 | $10.25 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will Renovación Popular (RP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?No | buy | 9.46 | $0.999 | $9.45 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 10.94 | $0.997 | $10.91 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will the St. Louis Blues make the NHL Playoffs?No | buy | 9.66 | $0.968 | $9.35 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will the St. Louis Blues make the NHL Playoffs?No | buy | 10.57 | $0.958 | $10.13 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 9.27 | $0.995 | $9.22 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 10.4 | $0.995 | $10.35 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Sentimental Value win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 9.78 | $0.997 | $9.75 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $460 end of February?No | buy | 9.8 | $0.997 | $9.77 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 10.39 | $0.997 | $10.36 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $570 end of January?No | buy | 9.25 | $0.999 | $9.24 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $220 end of January?No | buy | 9.29 | $0.999 | $9.28 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Meta (META) close above $780 end of January?No | buy | 10.77 | $0.988 | $10.64 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?No | buy | 9.85 | $0.998 | $9.83 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Will Assassin's Creed Shadows win Outstanding Story-Rich Game in the 2025 Steam Awards?No | buy | 10.41 | $0.999 | $10.4 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will Assassin's Creed Shadows win Outstanding Story-Rich Game in the 2025 Steam Awards?No | buy | 9.18 | $0.999 | $9.17 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will FINAL FANTASY VII REBIRTH win Best Soundtrack in the 2025 Steam Awards?No | buy | 9.19 | $0.997 | $9.16 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will CDA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?Yes | buy | 4.53 | $0.986 | $4.47 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Lee Jong-seop in jail by November 15?No | buy | 4.08 | $0.996 | $4.06 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.74 | $0.999 | $5.73 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Lee Jong-seop in jail by November 15?No | buy | 5.74 | $0.997 | $5.72 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets in November 2025?No | buy | 5.42 | $0.999 | $5.41 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets in November 2025?No | buy | 4.11 | $0.999 | $4.11 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Will “The Bad Guys: Breaking In” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 11 2025)No | buy | 4.52 | $0.998 | $4.51 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Amazon be the most valuable company on October 31?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.999 | $2.22 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will SOCDEM win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 2.75 | $0.999 | $2.75 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will Samia Suluhu Hassan win the 2025 Tanzania presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.55 | $0.967 | $2.47 | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Will Other be the most valuable company on October 31?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.999 | $2.03 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | buy | 2.31 | $0.997 | $2.3 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.994 | $2.16 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 1,415+ Measles cases in U.S. by September 12?Yes | buy | 2.51 | $0.998 | $2.5 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Will Alain St Ange win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?No | buy | 2.54 | $0.997 | $2.53 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Will Lauri Markkanen win the 2025 EuroBasket MVP?No | buy | 2.71 | $0.970 | $2.63 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Will Seth Rogan win the Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series?Yes | buy | 2.74 | $0.880 | $2.41 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Will Meta have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 2.42 | $0.997 | $2.41 | Sep 3, 2025 |
| Will Andor win the Emmy for Outstanding Drama Series?No | buy | 2.81 | $0.997 | $2.8 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2025 US Open?No | buy | 2.26 | $0.996 | $2.25 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by September 15?No | buy | 2.92 | $0.986 | $2.88 | Sep 3, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet between 450 and 499 times September 1–30?No | buy | 2.97 | $0.999 | $2.97 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will a dozen eggs be below $3.00 in August?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.992 | $2.06 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will Revolutionary Left Front win the most seats in the next Bolivia Senate election?No | buy | 4.22 | $0.994 | $4.19 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will Alex De Minaur win the 2025 ATP Cincinnati?No | buy | 4.56 | $0.996 | $4.54 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will MAS-IPSP win the most seats in the next Bolivia Chamber of Deputies election?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.975 | $4.88 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will PDC win the most seats in the next Bolivia Chamber of Deputies election?No | buy | 3.58 | $0.997 | $3.57 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will APB Súmate win the most seats in the next Bolivia Senate election?No | buy | 3.81 | $0.988 | $3.76 | Aug 9, 2025 |