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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | sell | 3.43 | $0.995 | $3.41 | 21d ago |
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| buy |
| 4.51 |
| $0.998 |
| $4.5 |
| 21d ago |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 4.46 | $0.995 | $4.44 | 21d ago |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 5.52 | $0.996 | $5.5 | 21d ago |
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.0% in July?No | sell | 5.42 | $0.996 | $5.4 | 21d ago |
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.0% in July?No | buy | 6.51 | $0.999 | $6.5 | 21d ago |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.949 | $1 | 21d ago |
Will "To Catch a Cheater" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?No | sell | 6.96 | $0.995 | $6.93 | 21d ago |
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stageex-RUSTEC | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | 21d ago |
Will "To Catch a Cheater" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?No | buy | 8.01 | $0.999 | $8 | 21d ago |
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 August 17-23?No | sell | 8.97 | $0.998 | $8.95 | 21d ago |
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 1.21 | $0.840 | $1.02 | 21d ago |
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 August 17-23?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | 21d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No | sell | 10.96 | $0.998 | $10.94 | 21d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No | buy | 12.01 | $0.999 | $12 | 21d ago |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 30?Yes | sell | 3.7 | $0.998 | $3.69 | Jun 29, 2026 |
US bank failure by June 30?No | sell | 3.96 | $0.992 | $3.93 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 30?Yes | buy | 4.74 | $0.999 | $4.74 | Jun 29, 2026 |
US bank failure by June 30?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will the announcers say "Corner" 10+ times during the South Africa vs Canada FIFA World Cup Match?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 106°F or higher on June 30?No | sell | 8.88 | $0.998 | $8.86 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will Bangladesh win?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 106°F or higher on June 30?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will XRP dip to $0.70 May 18-24?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | May 19, 2026 |
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the May decision?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.998 | $1.07 | May 19, 2026 |
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the May decision?No | buy | 2.2 | $0.999 | $2.2 | May 19, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | May 19, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.973 | $1 | May 19, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 18 2026?No | sell | 4.15 | $0.992 | $4.12 | May 19, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 18 2026?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.999 | $5.2 | May 19, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.920 | $1.02 | May 19, 2026 |
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?No | sell | 4.98 | $0.992 | $4.94 | May 19, 2026 |
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?No | buy | 6.04 | $0.994 | $6 | May 19, 2026 |
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?No | sell | 7 | $0.995 | $6.97 | May 19, 2026 |
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?No | buy | 8.02 | $0.997 | $8 | May 19, 2026 |
Will "Worst Ex Ever: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | May 19, 2026 |
Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?No | sell | 5.47 | $0.997 | $5.45 | May 19, 2026 |
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?No | sell | 3.87 | $0.994 | $3.85 | May 19, 2026 |
Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 6.61 | $0.999 | $6.6 | May 19, 2026 |
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | May 19, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No | sell | 11.7 | $0.998 | $11.68 | May 19, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No | buy | 12.76 | $0.999 | $12.75 | May 19, 2026 |
Will Vladimir Prebilič be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.999 | $1.14 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.995 | $4.98 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 6.05 | $0.996 | $6.03 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will Solana dip to $60 in March?No | sell | 6.35 | $0.998 | $6.34 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will Solana dip to $60 in March?No | buy | 7.51 | $0.999 | $7.5 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Another US bank failure by March 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by March 31?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.991 | $1.04 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Player gets 30+ kills in a mapYes | sell | 5.3 | $0.995 | $5.27 | Mar 19, 2026 |