Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | No | 20.89 | $0.905 | $19.74 | +$0.84 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.312 | $15.6 | May 3, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 14.34 |
| $0.900 |
| $14.09 |
| +$1.18 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | No | 10.56 | $0.870 | $9.98 | +$0.79 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 10 | $0.940 | $9.84 | +$0.44 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 10 | $0.919 | $9.62 | +$0.43 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 9.79 | $0.950 | $9.45 | +$0.15 |
 Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 10 | $0.910 | $9.25 | +$0.15 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 9.78 | $0.900 | $9.04 | +$0.24 |
 Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? | No | 8 | $0.677 | $7.81 | +$2.4 |
| buy |
| 9.89 |
| $0.910 |
| $9 |
| May 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 9.79 | $0.950 | $9.3 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No | buy | 14.33 | $0.900 | $12.9 | May 3, 2026 |
 Trump out as President before GTA VI?No | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 10 | $0.512 | $5.12 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?No | buy | 10 | $0.920 | $9.2 | May 2, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 17 | $0.600 | $10.2 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.940 | $9.4 | May 1, 2026 |
| New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?No | buy | 19.6 | $0.490 | $9.6 | May 1, 2026 |
| New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?No | buy | 20.75 | $0.482 | $10 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 19 | $0.520 | $9.88 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 19 | $0.512 | $9.73 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.978 | $9.78 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No | buy | 10.56 | $0.870 | $9.19 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will any World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?No | buy | 10.29 | $0.968 | $9.96 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before GTA VI?No | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No | buy | 14 | $0.500 | $7 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 GTA VI released before June 2026?No | buy | 20.02 | $0.988 | $19.78 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 9.78 | $0.900 | $8.8 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.919 | $9.19 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 2 | $0.540 | $1.08 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 4.28 | $0.720 | $3.08 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 US recession by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 4.3 | $0.250 | $1.08 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?Yes | sell | 5.92 | $0.190 | $1.12 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?No | sell | 10.92 | $0.930 | $10.16 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 15.48 | $0.920 | $14.24 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?No | sell | 15.95 | $0.920 | $14.67 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No | sell | 16.69 | $0.470 | $7.84 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No | sell | 28.8 | $0.870 | $25.06 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 29.71 | $0.660 | $19.61 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 30.3 | $0.920 | $27.88 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 66.4 | $0.130 | $8.63 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 4.29 | $0.730 | $3.13 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.550 | $1.1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 4.9 | $0.670 | $3.28 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?Yes | buy | 5.92 | $0.250 | $1.48 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 4.31 | $0.260 | $1.12 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 66.4 | $0.150 | $9.96 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 15.96 | $0.940 | $15 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?No | buy | 6.72 | $0.940 | $6.32 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 30.3 | $0.930 | $28.18 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 15.48 | $0.930 | $14.4 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?No | buy | 4.2 | $0.940 | $3.95 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No | buy | 16.69 | $0.490 | $8.18 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 24.82 | $0.670 | $16.63 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No | buy | 28.81 | $0.880 | $25.35 | Apr 29, 2026 |