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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.13K | $0.020 | $22.13 | -$0.52 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 12.34 | $0.063 | $0.78 | 1d ago |
| Yes |
| 1.03K |
| $0.022 |
| $20.05 |
| -$3.13 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 39.08 | $0.256 | $17.92 | +$7.92 |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 19.61 | $0.510 | $11.27 | +$1.27 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? | No | 24.29 | $0.450 | $6.32 | -$4.61 |
 Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 300 | $0.050 | $6.3 | -$8.7 |
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5.91 | +$0.91 |
| Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 4.35 | $0.230 | $2.57 | +$1.57 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 28.57 | $0.070 | $1.86 | -$0.14 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.100 | $1.6 | -$0.4 |
 Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31? | Yes | 16.36 | $0.030 | $1.41 | +$0.91 |
 Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027? | Yes | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1.38 | +$0.38 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 18.25 | $0.110 | $1.37 | -$0.63 |
 Iran coup attempt by December 31? | Yes | 8.75 | $0.114 | $1.23 | +$0.23 |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? | Yes | 32.59 | $0.031 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
 Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.010 | $1.05 | +$0.55 |
 Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 24.39 | $0.041 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | Yes | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | $0 |
 Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 16.67 | $0.120 | $0.96 | -$1.04 |
 Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | No | 2.86 | $0.350 | $0.9 | -$0.1 |
 Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026? | Yes | 6.88 | $0.073 | $0.86 | +$0.36 |
 Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | Yes | 18.46 | $0.108 | $0.85 | -$1.15 |
Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?Yes| sell |
| 6.87 |
| $0.100 |
| $0.69 |
| 1d ago |
| Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31?Yes | sell | 16.35 | $0.074 | $1.21 | 1d ago |
| Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.015 | $0.76 | 1d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | 2d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?No | buy | 24.29 | $0.450 | $10.93 | 2d ago |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 345.35 | $0.023 | $7.94 | 2d ago |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.041 | $1 | 12d ago |
 Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 6.25 | $0.360 | $2.25 | 12d ago |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.036 | $0.33 | 12d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | sell | 2.77 | $0.730 | $2.02 | 12d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | sell | 9.8 | $0.590 | $5.78 | 12d ago |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?No | sell | 25 | $0.114 | $2.85 | 12d ago |
 Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | 26d ago |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | 26d ago |
| Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 66.41 | $0.015 | $1 | 26d ago |
 Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | 26d ago |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | 26d ago |
 Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | 26d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 9.8 | $0.306 | $3 | 26d ago |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?No | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | 26d ago |
| Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes | buy | 18.46 | $0.108 | $2 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 24.69 | $0.081 | $2 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.120 | $2 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?No | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.050 | $3 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 32.71 | $0.031 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.016 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?Yes | buy | 67.5 | $0.015 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 918.1 | $0.021 | $19.28 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will there be at least 130m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?Yes | buy | 10.99 | $0.091 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Democratic Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Yes | buy | 48.11 | $0.021 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 |