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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.999 | $14.99 | 11d ago |
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of August 2026?No| buy |
| 13 |
| $0.999 |
| $12.99 |
| 11d ago |
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.990 | $16.83 | Jul 8, 2026 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.970 | $16.49 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?No | buy | 21 | $0.999 | $20.98 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 17 | $0.999 | $16.98 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?No | buy | 25 | $0.998 | $24.95 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be at least 450k?Yes | sell | 19 | $0.999 | $18.98 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be at least 450k?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.980 | $18.62 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of June 15 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.999 | $29.97 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will "Fiona Apple" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album?No | buy | 18 | $0.990 | $17.82 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will Apple announce the iPhone 18 during the WWDC 2026 keynote?No | sell | 20 | $0.990 | $19.8 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Will Apple announce the iPhone 18 during the WWDC 2026 keynote?No | buy | 20 | $0.980 | $19.6 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will "Nemesis" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.998 | $14.97 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Will "Nemesis" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.982 | $14.73 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.988 | $19.76 | May 30, 2026 |
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?No | buy | 65.33 | $0.995 | $65 | May 29, 2026 |
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.999 | $19.98 | May 26, 2026 |
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.980 | $19.6 | May 25, 2026 |
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 61 million views on day 6?No | sell | 18 | $0.990 | $17.82 | May 21, 2026 |
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 61 million views on day 6?No | buy | 18 | $0.975 | $17.55 | May 21, 2026 |
Will Russell McAlmond be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?No | buy | 23 | $0.990 | $22.77 | May 18, 2026 |
Will Sweden come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 19 | $0.990 | $18.81 | May 15, 2026 |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in April?No | sell | 16 | $0.999 | $15.98 | May 12, 2026 |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in April?No | buy | 16 | $0.970 | $15.52 | May 11, 2026 |
Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?No | buy | 21 | $0.990 | $20.79 | May 7, 2026 |
Will Sirajul Islam win the 2026 London Borough of Tower Hamlets mayoral election?No | buy | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | May 6, 2026 |
Will "Animal Farm" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 4m?No | sell | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | May 4, 2026 |
Will MrBeast's video get between 60 and 62 million views on day 3?No | sell | 19 | $0.991 | $18.83 | May 4, 2026 |
Will MrBeast's video get between 60 and 62 million views on day 3?No | buy | 19 | $0.970 | $18.43 | May 4, 2026 |
Will "Animal Farm" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 4m?No | buy | 5 | $0.970 | $4.85 | May 4, 2026 |
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by April 30?No | buy | 24 | $0.975 | $23.4 | Apr 29, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?Yes | sell | 19 | $0.998 | $18.96 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.970 | $18.43 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Will Assen Vassilev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?No | sell | 25 | $0.998 | $24.95 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Will Assen Vassilev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?No | buy | 25 | $0.988 | $24.7 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by March 31?No | sell | 15 | $0.990 | $14.85 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?No | sell | 20 | $0.992 | $19.84 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by March 31?No | buy | 15 | $0.972 | $14.58 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.990 | $14.85 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?No | buy | 20 | $0.976 | $19.52 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.999 | $15.98 | Mar 27, 2026 |
Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No | buy | 18 | $0.990 | $17.82 | Mar 27, 2026 |
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.970 | $15.52 | Mar 26, 2026 |
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No | sell | 25 | $0.991 | $24.78 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No | buy | 25 | $0.970 | $24.25 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.992 | $9.92 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by March 20?No | sell | 18 | $0.995 | $17.91 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by March 20?No | buy | 18 | $0.970 | $17.46 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C or higher on March 18?No | sell | 20 | $0.990 | $19.8 | Mar 18, 2026 |