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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will annual inflation be 4.0% or more in August? | No | 13.51 | $0.999 | $13.43 | -$0.07 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will annual inflation be 4.0% or more in August?No | buy | 13.51 | $0.999 | $13.5 | 7d ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.04 |
| $0.959 |
| $1.02 |
| +$0.02 |
| sell |
| 13.51 |
| $0.999 |
| $13.5 |
| 7d ago |
| Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 13.51 | $0.999 | $13.5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 13.51 | $0.999 | $13.5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.999 | $111 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.999 | $111 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 27?Yes | buy | 110.09 | $0.999 | $109.98 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?No | buy | 111.1 | $0.999 | $110.99 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No | buy | 111.3 | $0.997 | $110.97 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?No | buy | 111.1 | $0.999 | $110.99 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No | buy | 110.11 | $0.999 | $110 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in March 2026?No | buy | 110.28 | $0.999 | $110.17 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 50.1 | $0.998 | $50 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 59.12 | $0.998 | $59 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?No | buy | 2.8 | $0.999 | $2.8 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No | buy | 107.11 | $0.999 | $107 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No | buy | 109.85 | $0.999 | $109.74 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?No | buy | 109.74 | $0.999 | $109.63 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?No | buy | 109.63 | $0.999 | $109.52 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 91.43 | $0.999 | $91.34 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?No | buy | 91.34 | $0.999 | $91.25 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?No | buy | 91.25 | $0.999 | $91.16 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?No | buy | 91.16 | $0.999 | $91.07 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Google reach $420 in January?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.999 | $1.3 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.971 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.959 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.987 | $1.25 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Z.ai have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.999 | $1.14 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Moonshot have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.999 | $1.23 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.999 | $1.15 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.999 | $1.3 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Meituan have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.999 | $1.05 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Moonshot have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.999 | $1.14 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.998 | $1.3 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.999 | $1.25 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.998 | $1.2 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?No | buy | 112.11 | $0.999 | $112 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 20?No | buy | 105.02 | $0.999 | $104.91 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on December 7?No | buy | 100.1 | $0.999 | $100 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.974 | $1.28 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.998 | $1.89 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.984 | $1.28 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Epstein client list released in 2025?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.960 | $1.35 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?No | buy | 105.21 | $0.998 | $105 | Dec 1, 2025 |