Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | No | 7.96 | $0.630 | $7.81 | +$2.8 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.31 | $0.260 | $2.42 | 7d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 22.62 |
| $0.238 |
| $1.92 |
| -$3.46 |
 Will Karim Bouamrane be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 5.08 | $0.140 | $0.2 | -$0.51 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 15.81 | $0.162 | $0.19 | -$2.37 |
| buy |
| 7.08 |
| $0.260 |
| $1.84 |
| 7d ago |
 US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31?Yes | sell | 5.13 | $0.050 | $0.26 | 17d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.87 | $0.078 | $1.63 | 18d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | sell | 0.56 | $0.110 | $0.06 | 18d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | sell | 0.68 | $0.110 | $0.07 | 18d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | sell | 11.38 | $0.117 | $1.33 | 18d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | sell | 0.52 | $0.120 | $0.06 | 18d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | sell | 17.05 | $0.140 | $2.39 | 18d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 84.22 | $0.037 | $3.12 | 25d ago |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 7.95 | $0.940 | $7.47 | 26d ago |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on August 17?Down | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | 26d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | buy | 30.2 | $0.340 | $10.27 | 29d ago |
 Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.18 | $0.080 | $0.41 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | buy | 59.26 | $0.270 | $16 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Yes | sell | 228.57 | $0.110 | $25.14 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Yes | sell | 13.98 | $0.261 | $3.65 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETDown | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.63 | $0.281 | $10.85 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 61.21 | $0.173 | $10.59 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 47.72 | $0.374 | $17.85 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 53.33 | $0.484 | $25.8 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 47.72 | $0.481 | $22.97 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 99.54 | $0.471 | $46.88 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 43.94 | $0.519 | $22.83 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.78 | $0.590 | $0.46 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.7 | $0.590 | $1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.33 | $0.590 | $0.19 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.24 | $0.590 | $0.73 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 13.74 | $0.590 | $8.11 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 12.55 | $0.512 | $6.43 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 108.37 | $0.431 | $46.71 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 58.81 | $0.478 | $28.11 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.98 | $0.500 | $5.49 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 54.86 | $0.140 | $7.68 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 37.11 | $0.226 | $8.37 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 61.74 | $0.445 | $27.49 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 53.34 | $0.580 | $30.94 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 60.37 | $0.450 | $27.17 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 60.38 | $0.510 | $30.79 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 8.37 | $0.440 | $3.68 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 46.6 | $0.060 | $2.8 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 153.16 | $0.210 | $32.16 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 19.5 | $0.310 | $6.05 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 139.12 | $0.991 | $137.87 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 86.89 | $0.259 | $22.5 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 71.6 | $0.290 | $20.76 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 123.84 | $0.320 | $39.63 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | sell | 86.84 | $0.162 | $14.07 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | buy | 25.28 | $0.199 | $5.03 | Jul 30, 2026 |