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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 10.47 | $0.955 | $10.31 | +$0.31 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?Yes | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 10.35 |
| $0.966 |
| $10.11 |
| +$0.11 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2.26 | +$0.26 |
| buy |
| 10.33 |
| $0.968 |
| $10 |
| Jan 7, 2026 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?No | buy | 10.16 | $0.984 | $10 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Jensen Huang say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 10+ times during NVIDIA keynote?Yes | buy | 5.38 | $0.929 | $5 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will Venezuela become 51st state?No | buy | 10.35 | $0.966 | $10 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 10.47 | $0.955 | $10 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.900 | $2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.932 | $2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 10.56 | $0.947 | $10 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?Yes | buy | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Yoweri Kaguta Museveni win the 2026 Ugandan presidential election?Yes | buy | 10.24 | $0.976 | $10 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Union Progressiste pour le Renouveau (UPR) win the most seats in the 2026 Benin parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 10.15 | $0.985 | $10 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.36 | $0.847 | $2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?No | buy | 7.52 | $0.266 | $2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela on January 3?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.968 | $2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Venezuela election scheduled by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.880 | $2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.2 | $0.910 | $2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Arabia strike Yemen by January 31?Yes | buy | 2.09 | $0.957 | $2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.962 | $2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 First to 5k: Gold or ETH?Gold | buy | 3.03 | $0.660 | $2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will WD-40 Company (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 2.09 | $0.955 | $2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Jefferies Financial Group (JEF) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 2.41 | $0.830 | $2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by January 31?No | buy | 2.47 | $0.810 | $2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 4?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.860 | $2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.961 | $2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.580 | $2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?No | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.880 | $2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Google Gemini ParlayNo | buy | 2.47 | $0.810 | $2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?Yes | buy | 2.07 | $0.964 | $2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.961 | $2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 2.07 | $0.967 | $2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Bill Clinton charged by January 31?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.975 | $2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?Yes | buy | 2.64 | $0.758 | $2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela on January 4?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | Jan 3, 2026 |