Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 400.97K | $0.001 | $400.97 | Jun 17, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 99.99K |
| $0.004 |
| $399.97 |
| Jun 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 115.08K | $0.007 | $805.58 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 17.72K | $0.718 | $12.72K | Jun 11, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | sell | 32.82 | $0.570 | $18.71 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | buy | 8.28K | $0.628 | $5.2K | Jun 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 14K | $0.940 | $13.16K | Jun 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 99.14K | $0.936 | $92.8K | Jun 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | sell | 94.2K | $0.985 | $92.83K | Jun 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 31.7K | $0.940 | $29.8K | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 29.7K | $0.990 | $29.4K | May 31, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 47.63K | $0.171 | $8.13K | May 31, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 67.6K | $0.130 | $8.77K | May 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 20.1K | $0.815 | $16.38K | May 29, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 81.04K | $0.021 | $1.69K | May 29, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 6.76K | $0.023 | $157.5 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 20.61K | $0.022 | $459.01 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 12.19K | $0.025 | $305.87 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 60K | $0.080 | $4.8K | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 17.63K | $0.567 | $10K | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | sell | 200K | $0.082 | $16.33K | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 58.5K | $0.330 | $19.3K | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 50.62K | $0.395 | $20K | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 161.67K | $0.999 | $161.5K | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 16.57K | $0.387 | $6.41K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 45.1K | $0.407 | $18.38K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 190.82K | $0.007 | $1.28K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 4.55K | $0.220 | $999.95 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 28K | $0.210 | $5.88K | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 19.67K | $0.200 | $3.93K | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 43K | $0.021 | $892.45 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 40K | $0.015 | $604.46 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 50K | $0.018 | $900 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 1.19K | $0.030 | $35.85 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of January?Yes | buy | 25.2 | $0.794 | $20 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of January?Yes | buy | 28.97 | $0.400 | $11.58 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of January?Yes | buy | 53.72 | $0.370 | $19.88 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 80.06K | $0.060 | $4.8K | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 119.94K | $0.060 | $7.2K | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.112 | $69.98 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?Yes | buy | 456.66 | $0.040 | $18.1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?Yes | sell | 36.89K | $0.004 | $136.92 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?Yes | sell | 15.76K | $0.005 | $78.81 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?Yes | sell | 12.16K | $0.006 | $73.21 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?Yes | sell | 2.05K | $0.007 | $14.38 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?Yes | sell | 16.98K | $0.010 | $169.85 | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.43K | $0.330 | $802.18 | Jul 5, 2025 |