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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 4.41 | $0.417 | $1.84 | Jul 19, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 5.77 |
| $0.173 |
| $1 |
| May 16, 2026 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.001 | $3 | Mar 19, 2025 |
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.39ºC in February 2025?Yes | buy | 1.45K | $0.007 | $10 | Feb 13, 2025 |
Will global temperature increase by between 1.35-1.39ºC in February 2025?Yes | buy | 238.67 | $0.042 | $10 | Feb 13, 2025 |
2025 January hottest on record?No | buy | 3K | $0.007 | $21 | Feb 9, 2025 |
2025 January hottest on record?No | buy | 3.47K | $0.016 | $55 | Feb 4, 2025 |
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.34ºC in January 2025?No | buy | 2.71K | $0.110 | $298 | Feb 4, 2025 |
Trump declassifies JFK files in first week?Yes | buy | 5.8K | $0.005 | $29 | Feb 2, 2025 |
Trump declassifies JFK files in first week?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.005 | $10 | Feb 1, 2025 |
Trump declassifies JFK files in first week?Yes | buy | 552.63 | $0.018 | $10 | Jan 27, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?No | buy | 1K | $0.003 | $3 | Jan 24, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Jan 24, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Jan 24, 2025 |
Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in his first 100 days?Yes | buy | 536.63 | $0.019 | $10 | Jan 23, 2025 |
Will Grünen win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Jan 23, 2025 |
Will FDP win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jan 23, 2025 |
Will SPD win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 250.05 | $0.004 | $1 | Jan 23, 2025 |
Will another party win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jan 23, 2025 |
Will BSW win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jan 23, 2025 |
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 12.99 | $0.077 | $1 | Jan 23, 2025 |
Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jan 22, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.006 | $10 | Jan 22, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.003 | $30 | Jan 22, 2025 |
Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?Yes | buy | 23.15 | $0.004 | $0.09 | Jan 21, 2025 |
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?No | buy | 3.33K | $0.003 | $10 | Jan 21, 2025 |
Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?Yes | buy | 2.11K | $0.019 | $40 | Jan 21, 2025 |