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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.06 | $0.970 | $2 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.12 |
| $0.890 |
| $1 |
| Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.980 | $2 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.989 | $2 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 2.03 | $0.987 | $2 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the second highest private market valuation on June 30?Yes | buy | 2.06 | $0.970 | $2 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.05 | $0.975 | $2 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?Yes | buy | 2.06 | $0.972 | $2 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will "The Boroughs" be the top US Netflix show this week?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.990 | $2 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C or below on May 29?Yes | buy | 2.01 | $0.995 | $2 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.996 | $3 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.06 | $0.970 | $2 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.06 | $0.970 | $2 | May 14, 2026 |
 Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.977 | $2 | May 12, 2026 |
| Gemini 3.2 released by May 8, 2026?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.991 | $2 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.960 | $2 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 2.1 | $0.953 | $2 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Major US official out by May 31?Yes | buy | 2.41 | $0.830 | $2 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 2.06 | $0.973 | $2 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.979 | $2 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?Yes | buy | 2.01 | $0.994 | $2 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 2.01 | $0.993 | $2 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2 | $0.998 | $2 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.941 | $2 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.07 | $0.964 | $2 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% or less in March?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.995 | $2 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.996 | $2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.980 | $2 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by April 30?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.978 | $2 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 5.05 | $0.998 | $5.04 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?No | sell | 2.04 | $0.996 | $2.03 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 2.03 | $0.998 | $2.03 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?No | sell | 2.04 | $0.991 | $2.02 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 2.03 | $0.981 | $1.99 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Artemis II launch by March 31?No | sell | 2.02 | $0.998 | $2.02 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.02 | $0.980 | $1.98 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | sell | 5.12 | $0.998 | $5.11 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes | buy | 2.01 | $0.997 | $2 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.981 | $2 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.987 | $2 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.980 | $2 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 2.03 | $0.983 | $2 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.0% in March?No | buy | 2 | $0.998 | $2 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be less than 3m?Yes | buy | 2.06 | $0.971 | $2 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.03 | $0.984 | $2 | Mar 20, 2026 |