Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? | Yes | 18 | $0.174 | $3.24 | +$0.11 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETDown | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | 9d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 61.72 |
| $0.099 |
| $3.18 |
| -$2.96 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 38.44 | $0.074 | $1.4 | -$1.44 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | Yes | 5.67 | $0.200 | $1.02 | -$0.11 |
 Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 273.97 | $0.036 | $0.96 | -$8.9 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 8.93 | $0.440 | $0.85 | -$3.08 |
 China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.080 | $0.65 | -$0.15 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 44.82 | $0.048 | $0.47 | -$1.68 |
 Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET? | Yes | 13.3 | $0.131 | $0.39 | -$1.35 |
 Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? | Yes | 8.27 | $0.100 | $0.34 | -$0.48 |
 Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B? | Yes | 5 | $0.120 | $0.3 | -$0.3 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10.64 | $0.060 | $0.24 | -$0.39 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 13.25 | $0.122 | $0.23 | -$1.39 |
 Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 24.74 | $0.196 | $0.02 | -$4.81 |
| buy |
| 3.39 |
| $0.590 |
| $2 |
| 21d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETUp | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | 21d ago |
 Solana Up or Down - August 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETUp | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | 21d ago |
| XRP Up or Down - August 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETDown | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | 21d ago |
| Solana Up or Down - August 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETDown | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | 21d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETDown | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | 21d ago |
 Ethereum Up or Down - August 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETDown | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | 21d ago |
| XRP Up or Down - August 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETUp | buy | 84.62 | $0.012 | $1 | 21d ago |
| Solana Up or Down - August 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETDown | buy | 78.57 | $0.064 | $5 | 21d ago |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETDown | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | 21d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETDown | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | 21d ago |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETDown | sell | 29.41 | $0.920 | $27.06 | 21d ago |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETDown | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | 21d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETUp | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | 21d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?No | sell | 15.72 | $0.633 | $9.95 | 21d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETUp | buy | 200 | $0.080 | $16 | 29d ago |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETUp | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | 29d ago |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETUp | buy | 58.33 | $0.086 | $5 | 29d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETUp | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | 29d ago |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETUp | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | 29d ago |
 Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?No | sell | 12.34 | $0.780 | $9.63 | 29d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETUp | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | 29d ago |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETUp | buy | 11.32 | $0.530 | $6 | 29d ago |
| XRP Up or Down - August 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETUp | sell | 34.73 | $0.443 | $15.39 | 29d ago |
| XRP Up or Down - August 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETUp | buy | 34.73 | $0.144 | $5 | 29d ago |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETDown | buy | 34.88 | $0.430 | $15 | 29d ago |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETDown | buy | 41.66 | $0.120 | $5 | 29d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETDown | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | 29d ago |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETDown | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | 29d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | 29d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETUp | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | 29d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETUp | buy | 125 | $0.040 | $5 | 29d ago |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 10.94 | $0.824 | $9.01 | 29d ago |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?No | sell | 10.55 | $0.959 | $10.12 | 29d ago |
 Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.33 | $0.270 | $1.98 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.080 | $0.8 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?Yes | buy | 61.72 | $0.099 | $6.14 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.140 | $4.2 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 6.08 | $0.100 | $0.61 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.100 | $10.53 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.120 | $0.6 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?No | buy | 10.55 | $0.948 | $10 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | buy | 13.98 | $0.716 | $10.01 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.120 | $0.6 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 181.81 | $0.060 | $10.91 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes | buy | 10.96 | $0.182 | $2 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 6.9 | $0.034 | $0.23 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.090 | $0.9 | Jul 14, 2026 |