Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 24.87 |
| $0.430 |
| $10.69 |
| Jun 10, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 24.87 | $0.764 | $19 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | sell | 93.03 | $0.211 | $19.6 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | buy | 93.03 | $0.650 | $60.47 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes | sell | 262.92 | $0.230 | $60.47 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes | buy | 262.92 | $0.240 | $63 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | sell | 286.39 | $0.220 | $63.01 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 286.39 | $0.230 | $65.87 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Yes | sell | 168.64 | $0.235 | $39.68 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Yes | buy | 5.81 | $0.559 | $3.25 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?Yes | sell | 334.6 | $0.360 | $120.46 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?Yes | buy | 334.6 | $0.400 | $133.84 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?Yes | sell | 402.67 | $0.332 | $133.84 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?Yes | buy | 402.67 | $0.382 | $153.86 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?Yes | sell | 548.43 | $0.281 | $153.86 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?Yes | buy | 548.44 | $0.667 | $365.57 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?No | sell | 514.89 | $0.710 | $365.57 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?No | buy | 514.89 | $0.650 | $334.68 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | sell | 656.23 | $0.510 | $334.68 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 656.23 | $0.520 | $341.24 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | sell | 494.55 | $0.690 | $341.24 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 494.55 | $0.756 | $373.86 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Yes | sell | 983.84 | $0.380 | $373.86 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 983.85 | $0.390 | $383.7 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 995.45 | $0.385 | $383.7 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 995.46 | $0.482 | $479.32 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | sell | 707.47 | $0.678 | $479.32 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 707.48 | $0.721 | $510.05 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?No | sell | 570.72 | $0.894 | $510.05 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?No | buy | 350.14 | $0.870 | $304.62 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes | sell | 742.97 | $0.410 | $304.62 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes | buy | 742.97 | $0.454 | $337.67 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | sell | 703.08 | $0.480 | $337.68 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 703.09 | $0.510 | $358.48 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes | sell | 714.31 | $0.502 | $358.47 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes | buy | 318.72 | $0.500 | $159.36 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?No | buy | 220.59 | $0.680 | $150 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes | buy | 395.59 | $0.449 | $177.62 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | sell | 611.25 | $0.291 | $177.61 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 611.26 | $0.310 | $189.49 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?No | sell | 222.28 | $0.853 | $189.49 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?No | buy | 222.28 | $0.830 | $184.49 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?No | sell | 263.55 | $0.700 | $184.48 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?No | buy | 263.55 | $0.660 | $174.03 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?Yes | sell | 305.33 | $0.570 | $174.04 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?Yes | buy | 305.34 | $0.590 | $180.15 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | sell | 180.51 | $0.998 | $180.15 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 180.51 | $0.604 | $109.04 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?Yes | sell | 867.46 | $0.126 | $109.04 | Mar 5, 2026 |