Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Natural Disaster in 2026? | No | 1.8K | $0.708 | $1.56K | +$282.07 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natural Disaster in 2026?No | buy | 71.49 | $0.710 | $50.76 | Apr 2, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 123.46 |
| $0.810 |
| $119.63 |
| +$19.63 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 94.04 | $0.840 | $91.08 | +$12.08 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 81.08 | $0.740 | $77.31 | +$17.31 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 78.92 | $0.773 | $72.22 | +$11.22 |
 Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 73.17 | $0.820 | $71.96 | +$11.96 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 50.63 | $0.790 | $47.34 | +$7.34 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 45.45 | $0.880 | $42.95 | +$2.95 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | No | 17.24 | $0.580 | $14.4 | +$4.4 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 12.58 | $0.795 | $12.2 | +$2.2 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 73.69 | $0.877 | $12.2 | -$52.43 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 64.6 | $0.666 | $6.78 | -$36.22 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | 6.33 | $0.790 | $6.18 | +$1.18 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | No | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5.41 | +$0.41 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | No | 3.53 | $0.850 | $3.46 | +$0.46 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 3.37 | $0.890 | $3.15 | +$0.15 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1.19 | +$0.19 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| buy |
| 1.71K |
| $0.710 |
| $1.21K |
| Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?No | sell | 182.71 | $0.286 | $52.3 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?No | sell | 137.29 | $0.700 | $96.11 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?No | sell | 50 | $0.380 | $19 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?No | buy | 25 | $0.400 | $10 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?No | buy | 25 | $0.400 | $10 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 33.41 | $0.999 | $33.38 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | sell | 21.9 | $0.999 | $21.88 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,000 by end of March?No | sell | 180.33 | $0.999 | $180.15 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of March?No | buy | 167.45 | $0.959 | $160.58 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | sell | 161.06 | $0.997 | $160.58 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,600 by end of March?No | buy | 410.7 | $0.989 | $406.18 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,600 by end of March?No | buy | 100.3 | $0.992 | $99.5 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?No | buy | 508.23 | $0.981 | $498.5 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,000 by end of March?No | buy | 18.2 | $0.989 | $18 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,000 by end of March?No | buy | 162.14 | $0.989 | $160.39 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?No | buy | 18 | $0.966 | $17.39 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of March?No | buy | 102.8 | $0.973 | $100 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March?No | buy | 50.86 | $0.983 | $50 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETUp | buy | 29.85 | $0.887 | $26.47 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETDown | buy | 30.82 | $0.973 | $29.99 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETDown | buy | 10.2 | $0.980 | $10 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETDown | buy | 31.23 | $0.960 | $29.98 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETDown | buy | 30.61 | $0.980 | $29.99 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETUp | buy | 31.23 | $0.960 | $29.98 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETDown | buy | 21.46 | $0.930 | $19.96 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETDown | buy | 20.2 | $0.990 | $20 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETUp | buy | 20.2 | $0.990 | $20 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETDown | buy | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Santos FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?Yes | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Santos FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?Yes | buy | 16.95 | $0.590 | $10 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?No | buy | 312.42 | $0.990 | $309.3 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETUp | buy | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETUp | buy | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?No | buy | 277.56 | $0.989 | $274.51 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Afghanistan in March?No | sell | 10.52 | $0.943 | $9.92 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Turkey in March?No | sell | 10.52 | $0.857 | $9.02 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?No | buy | 101.1 | $0.999 | $101 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?No | buy | 100.3 | $0.997 | $100 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?No | sell | 62.69 | $0.828 | $51.89 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?No | buy | 35.56 | $0.984 | $35 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?No | buy | 105.94 | $0.957 | $101.38 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?No | sell | 51.28 | $0.979 | $50.2 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 21.27 | $0.978 | $20.81 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | sell | 30.8 | $0.986 | $30.37 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?No | buy | 25.37 | $0.920 | $23.34 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?No | buy | 50 | $0.960 | $48 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?No | buy | 14 | $0.990 | $13.86 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?No | buy | 31.09 | $0.993 | $30.87 | Mar 5, 2026 |