Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | Yes | 434.78 | $0.230 | $19.57 | -$80.43 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | Apr 7, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 146.68 |
| $0.204 |
| $11.73 |
| -$18.27 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | Yes | 101.17 | $0.296 | $7.59 | -$22.41 |
| buy |
| 600 |
| $0.100 |
| $60 |
| Apr 7, 2026 |
| Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?No | buy | 666.67 | $0.060 | $40 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | buy | 2.44K | $0.041 | $100 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | buy | 909.09 | $0.033 | $30 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | sell | 15.68K | $0.008 | $125.48 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.53K | $0.104 | $160 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 468.75 | $0.320 | $150 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | buy | 1.74K | $0.230 | $400 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 6.3K | $0.127 | $800 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 295.53 | $0.169 | $50 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 550.85 | $0.091 | $50 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes | buy | 101.17 | $0.297 | $30 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No | buy | 248.97 | $0.402 | $100 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Kurds declare independence from Iran?Yes | buy | 588.1 | $0.340 | $200 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 146.68 | $0.205 | $30 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 434.78 | $0.230 | $100 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 US strikes Iraq by February 28?Yes | sell | 2.38K | $0.999 | $2.37K | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.175 | $140 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?Yes | sell | 132.07 | $0.370 | $48.87 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 217.39 | $0.310 | $67.39 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 968.42 | $0.207 | $200 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| US strikes Iraq by February 28?Yes | buy | 398.93 | $0.125 | $50 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 450.39 | $0.076 | $34.23 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | sell | 333.14 | $0.217 | $72.29 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?Yes | sell | 144.23 | $0.442 | $63.76 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 287.11 | $0.364 | $104.47 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 217.39 | $0.460 | $100 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?Yes | buy | 132.08 | $0.530 | $70 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 963.53 | $0.218 | $210 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | sell | 159.57 | $0.519 | $82.86 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 444.44 | $0.270 | $120 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 287.12 | $0.348 | $100 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 333.15 | $0.300 | $100 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Iraq by February 28?Yes | buy | 500.25 | $0.100 | $50 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | sell | 136.36 | $0.615 | $83.83 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 267.66 | $0.975 | $260.97 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?Yes | sell | 433.63 | $0.107 | $46.38 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.52K | $0.263 | $400 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 137.89 | $0.145 | $20 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in February 2026?Yes | buy | 93.47 | $0.214 | $20 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Iraq by February 28?Yes | sell | 825.2 | $0.870 | $718.3 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.17K | $0.263 | $308.26 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 194.83 | $0.257 | $50 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?Yes | buy | 152.61 | $0.328 | $50 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei visit Russia by March 31?Yes | sell | 501.03 | $0.028 | $13.93 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 285.87 | $0.943 | $269.58 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.998 | $124.75 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.29K | $0.140 | $180.67 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 173.91 | $0.230 | $40 | Feb 27, 2026 |