Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | Yes | 340 | $0.055 | $15.13 | -$3.57 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 327.23 | $0.310 | $101.49 | 2d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 2.7 |
| $0.370 |
| $0.38 |
| -$0.62 |
| buy |
| 327.23 |
| $0.319 |
| $104.51 |
| 2d ago |
 Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 163.93 | $0.061 | $10 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 327.87 | $0.061 | $20 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Yes | buy | 340 | $0.055 | $18.7 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Over $15M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No | buy | 6.55K | $0.002 | $10 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETUp | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Over $50M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No | sell | 400 | $0.910 | $364 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.670 | $134 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No | sell | 199.99 | $0.491 | $98.1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Hyperbeat FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 529.68 | $0.009 | $4.64 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | sell | 200 | $0.380 | $76 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 200 | $0.380 | $76 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Over $50M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No | buy | 400 | $0.890 | $356 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No | buy | 200 | $0.170 | $34 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.100 | $4.5 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?No | sell | 90.9 | $0.350 | $31.82 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.06K | $0.059 | $121 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETUp | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETUp | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETDown | buy | 12 | $0.080 | $0.96 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETDown | buy | 153.42 | $0.033 | $5 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETDown | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETDown | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETUp | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETDown | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETUp | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETDown | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETUp | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETUp | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETDown | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 4?Yes | buy | 100.1 | $0.999 | $100 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 4?No | buy | 357.03 | $0.031 | $11 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?No | buy | 90.91 | $0.220 | $20 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Weed rescheduled in 2025?Yes | buy | 113.64 | $0.088 | $10 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.955 | $1 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 13.23 | $0.756 | $10 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 28?Yes | buy | 406.75 | $0.025 | $10 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 28?No | buy | 85.85 | $0.116 | $10 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 28?No | buy | 659.65 | $0.015 | $10 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on November 28?Yes | sell | 100.6 | $0.999 | $100.5 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on November 27?Yes | buy | 101.01 | $0.990 | $100 | Nov 26, 2025 |