Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 96 | $0.880 | $84.48 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.951 |
| $95.1 |
| Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump say "Cilia" or "Flores" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No | buy | 50 | $0.540 | $27 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?No | sell | 300 | $0.130 | $39 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 300 | $0.140 | $42 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 GPT ads by December 31?No | sell | 128.82 | $0.932 | $120.12 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?No | buy | 47.14 | $0.850 | $40.07 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| GPT ads by December 31?No | buy | 128.82 | $0.776 | $100 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberYes | sell | 122.2 | $0.966 | $118.02 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-25?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.460 | $20 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 24?No | buy | 102.27 | $0.880 | $90 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberYes | buy | 122.2 | $0.745 | $91 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?No | sell | 191.11 | $0.950 | $181.55 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?No | buy | 191.12 | $0.760 | $145.25 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 21?No | sell | 102.04 | $0.977 | $99.69 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.014 | $3.5 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 21?No | buy | 102.04 | $0.980 | $100 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.080 | $20 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?No | sell | 215.25 | $0.750 | $161.44 | Oct 3, 2025 |
| Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?No | buy | 215.25 | $0.590 | $127 | Sep 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Michelle Bowman as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 56.31 | $0.003 | $0.17 | Sep 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?No | sell | 8.45 | $0.590 | $4.99 | Sep 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 45.87 | $0.125 | $5.73 | Sep 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 43.41 | $0.136 | $5.9 | Sep 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 36.01 | $0.202 | $7.27 | Sep 14, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.900 | $11.25 | Sep 14, 2025 |
 US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?No | sell | 25.64 | $0.910 | $23.33 | Sep 14, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | sell | 38.46 | $0.950 | $36.54 | Sep 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Michelle Bowman as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 56.32 | $0.036 | $2 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 43.42 | $0.115 | $5 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 45.87 | $0.109 | $5 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 8.45 | $0.710 | $6 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 36.02 | $0.333 | $12 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.910 | $35 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?No | buy | 25.64 | $0.780 | $20 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in August?No | buy | 11.15 | $0.897 | $10 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?No | buy | 222.22 | $0.045 | $10 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in August?No | buy | 31 | $0.806 | $25 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?No | buy | 88.71 | $0.620 | $55 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 2.49K | $0.019 | $47.24 | Jul 5, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.019 | $20 | Jul 5, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 2.11K | $0.019 | $40 | Jul 5, 2025 |