Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Dario Amodei arrested by December 31? | No | 4.04 | $0.977 | $3.9 | -$0.05 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dario Amodei arrested by December 31?No | buy | 4.04 | $0.977 | $3.95 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 6.37 |
| $0.920 |
| $5.86 |
| Aug 5, 2026 |
| NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.37 | $0.910 | $5.8 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?No | buy | 8.34 | $0.983 | $8.2 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by June 30?No | sell | 3.79 | $0.986 | $3.74 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?No | buy | 3.79 | $0.983 | $3.73 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?No | sell | 8.86 | $0.998 | $8.84 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?No | buy | 8.86 | $0.986 | $8.74 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on March 16?No | buy | 8.74 | $0.990 | $8.65 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?No | sell | 9.83 | $0.880 | $8.65 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?No | buy | 9.84 | $0.920 | $9.05 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by February 28?No | sell | 9.09 | $0.996 | $9.05 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by February 28?No | buy | 9.1 | $0.989 | $9 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 61%?No | sell | 106.9 | $0.791 | $84.6 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 61%?No | buy | 101.89 | $0.996 | $101.48 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 61%?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit Israel again by Dec 31?No | buy | 104.31 | $0.997 | $104 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Van Epps win TN-07 by 10–15%?No | buy | 104 | $0.997 | $103.69 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $100,000 and $102,000 on November 16?No | buy | 103.69 | $0.997 | $103.38 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Syria strikes Israel by December 31?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.978 | $2.12 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Will the price of Solana be above $140 on November 12?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.988 | $2.1 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Velykomykhailivka by November 30?No | sell | 2.2 | $0.951 | $2.09 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Velykomykhailivka by November 30?No | buy | 2.2 | $0.930 | $2.05 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.997 | $2.05 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on October 26?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.997 | $2.04 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on October 19?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.997 | $2.04 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will Bank of America (BAC) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 2.03 | $0.910 | $1.85 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 DeepSeek confirmed to have used banned Nvidia chips?No | buy | 1.86 | $0.980 | $1.82 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 Debt ceiling raised or suspended by inauguration?No | buy | 5.18 | $0.990 | $5.13 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Biden appoints a man as Secret Service Director?No | buy | 6.51 | $0.996 | $6.48 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Jones-Aspinall date announced before February?No | buy | 4.73 | $0.959 | $4.54 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump remove Sriram before inauguration?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.990 | $3.2 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.985 | $1.31 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | buy | 4.42 | $0.992 | $4.38 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will Argentina dollarize in 2024?No | buy | 3.42 | $0.997 | $3.41 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No | buy | 4.54 | $0.967 | $4.39 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤10k votes?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.999 | $1.3 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?Yes | buy | 37.74K | $0.001 | $37.74 | Dec 15, 2024 |
 GOP wins popular vote by 1.75-2.0%?Yes | buy | 28.99K | $0.001 | $28.99 | Dec 15, 2024 |