Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 382.14 | $0.523 | $338.2 | +$138.2 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes | buy | 251.57 | $0.398 | $100 | 21m ago |
 |
| No |
| 420.93 |
| $0.475 |
| $307.28 |
| +$107.28 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? | No | 312.5 | $0.640 | $271.88 | +$71.88 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | Yes | 295.5 | $0.677 | $206.85 | +$6.85 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 220 | $0.659 | $189.2 | +$44.2 |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | No | 200 | $0.710 | $141 | -$1 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 178.57 | $0.560 | $116.96 | +$16.96 |
| Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 251.57 | $0.398 | $99.37 | -$0.63 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 120.34 | $0.582 | $94.47 | +$24.47 |
 Another Iranian diplomat expelled by October 31, 2026? | No | 110 | $0.434 | $84.7 | +$36.9 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | No | 150 | $0.480 | $78.75 | +$6.75 |
 Will Iran target Syria by September 30, 2026? | No | 77 | $0.760 | $73.42 | +$14.9 |
 Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? | Yes | 66.41 | $0.770 | $42.5 | -$8.63 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 74.63 | $0.670 | $34.7 | -$15.3 |
 Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.500 | $16 | -$84 |
 Will Iran target Kuwait by September 30, 2026? | No | 25.39 | $0.392 | $6.22 | -$3.73 |
 Will Iran target Bahrain by September 30, 2026? | No | 33 | $0.284 | $3.14 | -$6.24 |
| buy |
| 200 |
| $0.710 |
| $142 |
| 25m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 150 | $0.480 | $72 | 33m ago |
| Will Iran target Bahrain by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 21.5 | $0.286 | $6.16 | 45m ago |
| Will Iran target Kuwait by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | 47m ago |
| Will Iran target Kuwait by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 20.39 | $0.390 | $7.95 | 47m ago |
 Will Iran target Iraq by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.988 | $39.52 | 6d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Yes | buy | 295.5 | $0.677 | $200 | 7d ago |
 Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 166.66 | $0.817 | $136.15 | 7d ago |
| Will Iran target Iraq by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.04K | $0.029 | $30 | 7d ago |
| Will Iran target Iraq by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 371.24 | $0.027 | $10 | 7d ago |
 Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?Yes | sell | 297.43 | $0.987 | $293.5 | 8d ago |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | buy | 120 | $0.650 | $78 | 12d ago |
| Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?Yes | buy | 66.41 | $0.770 | $51.14 | 12d ago |
| Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.600 | $100 | 12d ago |
| Will Iran target Iraq by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 34.48 | $0.740 | $25.52 | 13d ago |
| Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?Yes | buy | 180.58 | $0.554 | $100 | 13d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | sell | 294.32 | $0.348 | $102.54 | 14d ago |
| Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?Yes | buy | 116.86 | $0.599 | $70 | 15d ago |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.670 | $67 | 16d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | buy | 158.73 | $0.630 | $100 | 16d ago |
 Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.620 | $3.72 | 17d ago |
| Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 15.14 | $0.650 | $9.84 | 17d ago |
| Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 9.99 | $0.640 | $6.39 | 17d ago |
| Will Iran target Iraq by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 146.55 | $0.682 | $100 | 17d ago |
 US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday?No | buy | 100 | $0.590 | $59 | 18d ago |
| Will Iran target Iraq by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.590 | $35.4 | 18d ago |
 Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by Aug 28?No | buy | 40 | $0.510 | $20.4 | 18d ago |
| Another Iranian diplomat expelled by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 70 | $0.440 | $30.8 | 18d ago |
| Another Iranian diplomat expelled by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.425 | $17 | 18d ago |
| Will Iran target Iraq by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.550 | $2.75 | 18d ago |
| Will Iran target Bahrain by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 153.03 | $0.653 | $100 | 18d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 22?No | sell | 105.87 | $0.978 | $103.55 | 19d ago |
| Will Iran target Kuwait by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 55 | $0.560 | $30.8 | 19d ago |
| Will Iran target Kuwait by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 107.22 | $0.550 | $58.97 | 19d ago |
| Will Iran target Iraq by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.650 | $26 | 19d ago |
| Houthis successfully target shipping by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | 19d ago |
| Houthis successfully target shipping by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 70 | $0.207 | $14.5 | 19d ago |
| Will Iran target Kuwait by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 160 | $0.580 | $92.8 | 19d ago |
| Will Iran target Syria by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 77 | $0.760 | $58.52 | 19d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | buy | 135.59 | $0.590 | $80 | 19d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?No | buy | 204.08 | $0.490 | $100 | 20d ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 271.46 | $0.962 | $261.14 | 20d ago |
 Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 474.83 | $0.230 | $109.16 | 20d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?No | sell | 825 | $0.960 | $792.24 | 20d ago |
| Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 100.34 | $0.399 | $40 | 20d ago |
| Houthis successfully target shipping by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 32.72 | $0.611 | $20 | 21d ago |
| Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 94.1 | $0.744 | $70 | 21d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?No | buy | 216.85 | $0.461 | $100 | 21d ago |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?No | sell | 256.41 | $0.950 | $243.59 | 21d ago |