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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026? | No | 531.91 | $0.940 | $507.98 | +$7.98 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 95.24 | $0.210 | $20 | 35m ago |
|
| No |
| 454.55 |
| $0.880 |
| $384.09 |
| -$15.91 |
 Fetterman out by September 30, 2026? | No | 206.61 | $0.968 | $201.65 | +$1.65 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | No | 238.06 | $0.840 | $201.16 | +$1.16 |
 Spain snap election called in 2026? | No | 125.61 | $0.796 | $100.49 | +$0.49 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 208.33 | $0.480 | $92.71 | -$7.29 |
 Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | No | 144.77 | $0.518 | $90.92 | +$15.92 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 625 | $0.160 | $90.63 | -$9.38 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 136.75 | $0.585 | $80.96 | +$0.96 |
 Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | No | 105.55 | $0.800 | $75.47 | -$8.97 |
 Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? | Yes | 83.05 | $0.602 | $44.85 | -$5.15 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 71.43 | $0.350 | $25.36 | +$0.36 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | Yes | 302.78 | $0.089 | $22.71 | -$4.29 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 95.24 | $0.210 | $18.57 | -$1.43 |
 Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 53.68 | $0.056 | $5.34 | +$2.34 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 18.87 | $0.053 | $0.84 | -$0.16 |
| buy |
| 25 |
| $0.080 |
| $2 |
| 42m ago |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 25 | $0.600 | $15 | 7h ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 71.43 | $0.350 | $25 | 18h ago |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 136.75 | $0.585 | $80 | 20h ago |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 18.87 | $0.053 | $1 | 20h ago |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 53.68 | $0.056 | $3 | 20h ago |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 18.76 | $0.533 | $10 | 23h ago |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 101.01 | $0.495 | $50 | 1d ago |
| Spain snap election called in 2026?No | buy | 125.61 | $0.796 | $100 | 1d ago |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Yes | buy | 83.05 | $0.602 | $50 | 1d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes | buy | 277.78 | $0.090 | $25 | 1d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.160 | $100 | 1d ago |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 531.91 | $0.940 | $500 | 1d ago |
| Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?No | buy | 105.55 | $0.800 | $84.44 | 1d ago |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 238.06 | $0.840 | $200 | 1d ago |
| Fetterman out by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 206.61 | $0.968 | $200 | 1d ago |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 454.55 | $0.880 | $400 | 1d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.480 | $100 | 1d ago |